Premier League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4df3729a2df15097102cc146d51c3a9977ef95a8cb132e01be7aba2ed2daec5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $340,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $338,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Over | 50c | 116,400$58,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,200 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 50c | 70,000$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,000 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Under | 55c | 48,052$26,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,642.83 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 50c | 30,386$15,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,133.04 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6127backed Over | 62c | 23,315$14,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,461.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 19,660$9,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,846.87 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under | 53c | 17,593$9,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,285.9 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 50c | 16,000$7,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,030 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Under | 52c | 12,597$6,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,046.64 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 9,952$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,951.66 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 45c | 8,110$3,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,685.46 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 4,853$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.03 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Over | 50c | 4,850$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 46c | 4,356$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.53 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 4,338$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.73 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 48c | 4,166$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.82 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 47c | 4,161$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.47 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 50c | 4,000$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked Over | 47c | 3,905$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 3,521$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.34 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 46c | 3,200$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.92 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 45c | 3,125$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.14 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 46c | 3,080$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.24 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 38c | 3,036$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.4 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 46c | 3,018$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.46 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…4568backed Under | 52c | 2,721$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 2,562$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.94 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Over | 48c | 2,017$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.31 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Under | 52c | 1,936$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.29 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…41c7backed Under | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.78 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 1,818$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.88 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 47c | 1,800$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Over | 11c | 1,792$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.23 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2ef4backed Over | 80c | 1,544$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 75c | 1,300$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.98 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 79c | 1,254$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.64 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 80c | 1,241$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.74 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 40c | 1,183$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.77 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 46c | 1,125$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.17 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 45c | 1,074$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.45 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 18c | 1,060$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.42 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 46c | 1,052$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.8 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…e6a0backed Over | 80c | 757.82$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 48c | 741.79$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.39 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 59c | 661.45$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 50c | 606.56$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.28 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 50c | 606.24$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.12 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.95 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 55c | 540.45$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.04 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 48c | 517.34$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.32 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 48c | 504.72$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.27 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 138 | 58.7%81 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Over | 51c | 497.63$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.53 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Under | 53c | 458.4$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.45 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Over | 79c | 425.91$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.47 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 46c | 420.77$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 52c | 407.9$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.79 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 50c | 404.17$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.09 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…70bbbacked Over | 56c | 403.34$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Over | 48c | 397.21$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 49c | 388$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Under | 50c | 387.94$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.94 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 51c | 367.69$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.33 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Under | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431c…12ecbacked Under | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 52c | 359.34$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.49 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b3…c131backed Over | 45c | 340$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 50c | 316.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.86 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 48c | 290.64$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.13 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 50c | 285.73$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.87 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 50c | 284.56$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.28 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 52c | 279.33$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.95 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 54c | 241.01$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.76 | 192 | 44.8%86 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Over | 46c | 217.55$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 52c | 210.62$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 48c | 208.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.17 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 47c | 204.4$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.07 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 50c | 200.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 55c | 194.97$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.32 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Over | 48c | 193.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.