Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c5bd59e62322b7de3a2a0bf706993b34ebc95ccd3e40e7788a1fc7dccdaab28

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $29,101
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $32,374

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,101 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0dcf…c556backed No	44c	12,182$5,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,360.09	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	56c	4,715$2,657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,057.25	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Yes	56c	1,875$1,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$825	210	56.7%119 W · 91 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	44c	1,393$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.82	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes	56c	1,119$626 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492.2	83	45.8%38 W · 45 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	44c	1,112$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.76	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes	56c	1,000$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes	56c	1,000$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440	1,224	42.3%518 W · 706 L	-27.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	43c	999.95$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.98	200	40.5%81 W · 119 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes	56c	989.24$554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435.27	1,074	45%483 W · 591 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a1a…4b44backed Yes	56c	591.15$331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.11	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.65per pick	35cpaid	+361.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	44c	564.85$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.53	557	51.5%287 W · 270 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bb…e40fbacked No	45c	537.85$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.03	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes	56c	500.71$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.31	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes	57c	431.07$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.36	167	57.5%96 W · 71 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes	57c	431.07$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.36	275	52.7%145 W · 130 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Yes	57c	431.07$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.36	115	55.7%64 W · 51 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes	57c	427.28$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.73	60	56.7%34 W · 26 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No	44c	389.44$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.35	809	53.6%434 W · 375 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Yes	56c	347.71$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.99	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-4.5wins	-0.14per pick	62cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes	57c	300$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129	118	28%33 W · 85 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No	44c	288.99$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.16	277	52.3%145 W · 132 L	+8.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Yes	57c	256.37$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.24	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	-6.9wins	-0.11per pick	57cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No	44c	246.38$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.41	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	+4.4wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed No	45c	199.96$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.98	101	47.5%48 W · 53 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Yes	56c	194.72$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.68	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes	53c	194.36$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.35	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	-6.2wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44ab…e7b6backed Yes	56c	173.86$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.5	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Yes	57c	170.91$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.49	100	49%49 W · 51 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…ab05backed Yes	57c	170.06$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.12	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Yes	56c	164.49$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.37	94	44.7%42 W · 52 L	-7.4wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Yes	55c	162.76$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.24	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed No	44c	140.73$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.92	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.19per pick	44cpaid	+66.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba0d…dd6bbacked No	44c	140.73$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.92	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes	56c	127.56$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.13	611	43.7%267 W · 344 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Yes	56c	104.31$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.9	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+2.6wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes	47c	103$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.59	203	36.9%75 W · 128 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No	44c	102.95$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.3	1,615	53%856 W · 759 L	+33.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b68…0060backed Yes	55c	99$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.55	49	55.1%27 W · 22 L	+5.1wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa39f…0af2backed No	27c	95.62$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.82	58	41.4%24 W · 34 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No	44c	94.85$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.19	1,662	34.9%580 W · 1,082 L	-32.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Yes	57c	92.48$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.51	89	59.6%53 W · 36 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed No	42c	91.89$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.59	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed No	43c	89.18$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.35	74	50%37 W · 37 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x571e…67b2backed Yes	56c	86.93$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.25	117	36.8%43 W · 74 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed Yes	56c	86.93$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.25	118	39%46 W · 72 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Yes	56c	86.46$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.04	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes	55c	80.69$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.31	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes	48c	80$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.6	556	54.9%305 W · 251 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…7dcbbacked Yes	56c	76$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.15	35	68.6%24 W · 11 L	+4.6wins	+0.13per pick	55cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No	45c	73.02$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.61	850	48.4%411 W · 439 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes	65c	68.56$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.96	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5258…534ebacked Yes	55c	66.25$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.81	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Yes	56c	65.67$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.89	138	46.4%64 W · 74 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No	42c	62.67$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.27	150	38%57 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Yes	56c	60.85$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.77	96	52.1%50 W · 46 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Yes	58c	57.94$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.33	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes	56c	52.16$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.95	422	40.3%170 W · 252 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1821…a7c2backed Yes	55c	51.3$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.09	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.9wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Yes	57c	51.27$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.05	76	35.5%27 W · 49 L	-8.0wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe935…3991backed Yes	58c	49.36$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.97	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	70cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6772…8ef5backed Yes	56c	43.46$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.12	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No	39c	41.14$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.19	318	49.1%156 W · 162 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed No	48c	39.06$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.75	135	31.1%42 W · 93 L	-12.3wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes	56c	38.25$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.83	119	54.6%65 W · 54 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes	67c	36.76$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.13	81	59.3%48 W · 33 L	+6.7wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes	56c	34.77$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.3	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Yes	56c	34.77$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.3	172	55.2%95 W · 77 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfb5…8740backed Yes	56c	34.77$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.3	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e4…d947backed Yes	57c	34.18$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+3.3wins	+0.30per pick	52cpaid	+73.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3caa…b251backed Yes	57c	34.18$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes	57c	34.18$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	125	43.2%54 W · 71 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b62…1924backed No	44c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66fc…2720backed Yes	58c	28.24$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.86	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d8f…77f7backed Yes	55c	26.78$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.05	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8df1…e624backed Yes	56c	26.29$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.57	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa08b…405abacked Yes	56c	26.08$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.47	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.15per pick	55cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x68af…ff00backed Yes	56c	26.08$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.47	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+64.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbea…e77bbacked No	45c	25.95$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.3wins	-0.25per pick	48cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x61bc…54f5backed Yes	56c	25.45$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.2	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38d8…6ef1backed Yes	56c	24.34$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.71	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-2.5wins	-0.10per pick	58cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes	58c	22.5$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	183	58.5%107 W · 76 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Yes	57c	20.94$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc205…eec2backed Yes	56c	20.86$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.18	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Yes	52c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	64	50%32 W · 32 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed Yes	57c	19.31$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.3	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Yes	57c	19.18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.25	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f7fbacked Yes	56c	19.12$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.41	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event