TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc205…eec2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
254
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: World Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6835.3%24 W · 44 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.7
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.89
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.45
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23.85
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$49.17
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT3956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Chelsea FC O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14.2
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$80.3
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$28
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.18
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$22.77
Chelsea FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.9
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$16.8
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+30.7%+$18.8
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16.67
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.6
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.25
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$21.38
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$9.14
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will "GOAT" Third Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Catherine O'Hara win Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+59.5%+$14.92
Will Erin Doherty win Best Actress in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$54.6
Will The Traitors win Best Producer of Game & Competition TV at the 37th PGA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$55.89
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 3.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+34.7%+$95.85
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+28.2%+$6.6
Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+31.3%+$24.44
Will One Battle After Another win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+37%+$22.19
Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.32
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$88.4
Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$40.8
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$84.1
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$125.65
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$526.19
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+34%+$158.27
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+172.5%+$93.36
Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.13
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.52
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+275.7%+$220.55
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$845Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$845.2
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$111.8
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$137.59
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$37.5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$237.08
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$23.75
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.04
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+74.4%+$240.99
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+42.9%+$13.29
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$23.05
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.82
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15.96
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$29.22
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.26
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-59.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+164%+$32.8
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.6
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Roland Garros WTA: Katie Boulter vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.51
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Leylah Fernandez vs Janice Tjenbacked Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.43
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11.07
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$73.6
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$74.8
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$101.5
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$106.58
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$152.91
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$57.39
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.1
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$425.74
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$250
All 10 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+127.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-62.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+123.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealandbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+210.3%+$25.66
T20 World Cup: England vs Pakistanbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Predatorsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+132.6%+$132.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$141
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$207.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+300%+$46.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+38.8%+$17.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+33.3%+$11.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $510 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$26.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$63.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.