Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd427d58d1a5fd88e51dd1dbded4aae7f53d98ddb9e1b674e1976bb014ee7824a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Natus Vincere, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Heroic | 48c | 8,837$4,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,626.02 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked Heroic | 41c | 7,000$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,129.95 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622a…2b59backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 6,666$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 6,657$3,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,538.52 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f2…6090backed Natus Vincere | 0c | 6,297$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…a86bbacked Natus Vincere | 4c | 5,262$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked Heroic | 61c | 4,585$2,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.31 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +11.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Natus Vincere | 7c | 4,230$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.37 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 4,205$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.2 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Heroic | 50c | 4,161$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.01 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 3,431$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.45 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…ef06backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 2,568$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Heroic | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Heroic | 45c | 2,405$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.61 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 2,190$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.24 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…6255backed Heroic | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Heroic | 51c | 2,019$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.43 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,890$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.45 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic | 44c | 1,890$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.86 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Heroic | 45c | 1,781$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.47 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 1,729$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.02 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Heroic | 47c | 1,689$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.68 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Heroic | 78c | 1,580$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.84 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d81…294abacked Heroic | 47c | 1,502$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 1,490$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.07 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Heroic | 45c | 1,313$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.6 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,279$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.37 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Heroic | 78c | 1,175$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.83 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,124$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.46 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Heroic | 45c | 1,107$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.67 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 65c | 1,048$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 1,035$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.51 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Heroic | 79c | 1,029$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.97 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ff…2df7backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,021$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,017$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.2 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,002$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f8…cfaabacked Heroic | 77c | 990.9$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.61 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 983.04$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Heroic | 45c | 977.23$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.47 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Natus Vincere | 4c | 977.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 810$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.06 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 749.49$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.79 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Heroic | 46c | 732$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.28 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 722$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.88 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Heroic | 44c | 704.91$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.75 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 700$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Heroic | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 625.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.54 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…7d4abacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 623.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 600$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.29 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 568$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.26 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 562.51$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.82 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Heroic | 56c | 508.92$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.92 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Heroic | 42c | 500.23$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.13 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 494.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.47 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Natus Vincere | 11c | 490.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x275f…39d9backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 486.73$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.43 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe2…5f33backed Heroic | 44c | 478.16$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d97…f2bebacked Heroic | 42c | 446.04$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.7 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed Heroic | 59c | 415.83$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.33 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…4dd1backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 387.12$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.72 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2d…77b4backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 371.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 359.07$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.43 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Heroic | 76c | 349.25$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.29 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -7.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Heroic | 57c | 345$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.35 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8e…af16backed Natus Vincere | 6c | 334.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 332.94$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.53 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 326.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…15d5backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.68 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…2f60backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 299.01$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Heroic | 73c | 297$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 287.39$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.28per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 278.32$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 56cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2f…7241backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…2afdbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Heroic | 46c | 258.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.76 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 253.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Heroic | 45c | 250$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x410e…1209backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 231.82$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedfb…6c0bbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 220.46$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 212.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 207.82$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.07 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 203.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.21 | 300 | 41.3%124 W · 176 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d86…ea87backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 200$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Heroic | 43c | 199.9$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.94 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 47c | 199.74$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.44 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb88…b1d7backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 195.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.