TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55aa…4f8e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
200
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Serie A, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST8344.6%37 W · 46 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$80.97
Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$101.67
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$159.67
Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$49.28
Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$37.98
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+104.1%+$40.38
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30.98
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$21.49
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+51.5%+$182.5
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30.09
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$51.67
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$27.88
Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$61.52
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$365.22
Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 22.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$91.75
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$614Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$409.21
76ers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$83.95
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$929Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$929.35
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+93%+$497.38
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+257.1%+$173.67
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+53.8%+$12.49
Knicks vs. Celtics: 1H Moneylinebacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.33
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+34.8%+$152.38
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$217.85
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$256.43
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Lille Esport vs BK ROG Esports (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked BK ROG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+65%+$286.68
LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked SU Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+51.5%+$30.47
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+117.4%+$175.5
LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+122.5%+$243.63
LoL: Disguised vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$127.25
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+59.9%+$289.3
LoL: SK Gaming vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$164.92
LoL: French Flair vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Groupbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$144.78
LoL: Solary vs BK ROG Esports (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Groupbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+44.9%+$18.22
LoL: Deer Gaming vs Verdant (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked Deer Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$33.79
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs P11 Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffsbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+152.3%+$64.89
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$44.78
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$20.71
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.95
LoL: Priority vs KIA.eSuba Academy (BO1) - Hitpoint Masters Group Stagebacked KIA.eSuba Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$86.04
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$835Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$834.78
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$188.34
LoL: Joblife vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group Abacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.77
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+39.8%+$288.47
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$179.17
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$126.71
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$143.95
Penguins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$171.16
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$251.07
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$157.61
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$98.95
Blackhawks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$107.92
Capitals vs. Krakenbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,608Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,607.98
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+83.6%+$500.47
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+113.9%+$297.25
Predators vs. Bruinsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$123.16
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$725.42
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$58.3
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$46.14
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.1
Will Team Vitality win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+69.5%+$7.62
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$79.29
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$80.97
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$77.35
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$21.69
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+37%+$10.02
Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs Endless Journey (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stagebacked Aurora Young Blood · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+59.9%+$33.58
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fordham Rams vs. Saint Joseph's Hawksbacked Fordham Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+81.8%+$17.08
Arizona Wildcats vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$260.26
Texas Southern Tigers vs. Bethune-Cookman Wildcatsbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+70.1%+$131.55
Xavier Musketeers vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+32.9%+$145.26
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleersbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$192.96
Radford Highlanders vs. Presbyterian Blue Hosebacked Radford Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+101%+$203.91
Marist Red Foxes vs. Canisius Golden Griffins: O/U 128.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$194.03
NJIT Highlanders vs. Albany Great Danes: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$25.68
Wofford Terriers vs. Chattanooga Mocs: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$66.27
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. New Hampshire Wildcatsbacked New Hampshire Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+66.7%+$19.35
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-61%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Olympics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.42per pick56cpaid-79.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick63cpaid-75%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Earnings — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+36.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+108.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+31.6%+$23.74
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$49.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+669.2%+$134.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+257.1%+$305.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+194.1%+$560.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+37%+$31.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Transylvania Open: Xinyu Wang vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$322.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$338.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$184.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$78.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.