TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,454
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,318

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,454 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz51c32,579$16,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,516.712,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Jazz52c16,026$8,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,333.582,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Trail Blazers49c15,714$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,014.2911351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Jazz61c14,622$8,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,914.3736359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz58c10,182$5,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,949.659,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Trail Blazers50c10,030$5,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,01529347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Trail Blazers48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2006152.5%32 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3022…3794backed Trail Blazers48c9,375$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8752360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Jazz59c9,220$5,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,409.9513142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Trail Blazers41c8,541$3,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,039.4617454%94 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz54c7,325$3,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,934.091,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers42c7,055$2,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,075.918,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Jazz51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers44c4,875$2,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,718.44,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers42c4,812$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,776.464,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Jazz58c4,000$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3201,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Trail Blazers39c3,210$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,943.391,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Trail Blazers48c2,750$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,43041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Trail Blazers49c2,718$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.3730446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Trail Blazers49c2,511$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.8512950.4%65 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jazz52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0402,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz52c1,799$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.533,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Jazz57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016042.5%68 W · 92 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Trail Blazers48c1,636$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.2895641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers42c1,084$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.515,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Trail Blazers48c1,029$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.0854246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Trail Blazers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Trail Blazers41c999.99$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59031455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Trail Blazers56c985.58$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.613,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Jazz52c970$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.415154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Jazz59c677.97$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40090957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers41c658.02$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.13,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz58c569$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.026,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Jazz55c553.47$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.7526638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa0…b8a3backed Trail Blazers47c551.01$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.04475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74c2…5260backed Jazz55c543.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003850%19 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb39…a1f6backed Jazz56c539.16$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Trail Blazers46c526.71$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.421,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c18…e0c2backed Jazz50c500$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Trail Blazers39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3051,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Jazz54c492.59$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26647651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb27f…2c41backed Jazz55c472.73$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Trail Blazers48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Trail Blazers39c400$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2441,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96cb…df2ebacked Jazz51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers46c350.71$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.563,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab9f…570cbacked Jazz57c333.33$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19013240.2%53 W · 79 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Trail Blazers53c304.66$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.473,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Jazz54c300$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.9891148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Trail Blazers45c288.99$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.465,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8568…bc38backed Trail Blazers20c251.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.281850%9 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+202.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x09bf…b9d6backed Jazz52c240$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.81040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Jazz58c237.93$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13812652.4%66 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Trail Blazers45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.222,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9935…8fb9backed Trail Blazers50c215$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…7b09backed Jazz51c215$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.65837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44de…e77fbacked Trail Blazers50c210$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x612a…a940backed Jazz51c210$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.11030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Jazz71c209.25$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.631,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc624…446fbacked Trail Blazers50c206$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1031225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.25per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2528…a7d1backed Jazz51c206$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.061040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Jazz47c205.97$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1962844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde77…6351backed Jazz51c202$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.021442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf020…70e2backed Trail Blazers50c202$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Jazz52c200.01$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10489050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Jazz69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13866645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d6…9e5bbacked Jazz51c199$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.491275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaa88…b48bbacked Trail Blazers50c199$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.51250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf665…8298backed Jazz51c199$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.49837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcad3…377fbacked Trail Blazers50c199$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…bf14backed Trail Blazers50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41dc…7ca9backed Jazz51c194$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.941136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf98f…e563backed Trail Blazers50c193$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.51384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+67.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf11c…654fbacked Jazz51c193$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.43944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers47c192.1$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.244,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3441…6e5ebacked Jazz51c187$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.371040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ba…7212backed Trail Blazers50c187$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.51233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Trail Blazers48c184.77$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.088251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Jazz55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Trail Blazers40c181.11$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3666646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x63f2…e0c9backed Jazz54c180$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.25054%27 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Jazz52c179.33$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2550653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e76…5b64backed Jazz59c178.46$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.291450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a32…6bbebacked Trail Blazers50c178$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+36.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd791…2eadbacked Jazz51c178$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.781233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Trail Blazers40c175$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1052,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Trail Blazers46c172.66$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.022,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15be…5143backed Jazz79c161$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.971758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Trail Blazers47c159.32$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.831,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Jazz54c150.33$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.211,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Trail Blazers28c150$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Trail Blazers39c150$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.535444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1340…ee62backed Jazz51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Trail Blazers49c147$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7565950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Jazz44c143.6$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5151651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Jazz51c138.92$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8520149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Jazz51c137.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7021743.8%95 W · 122 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Jazz52c135.41$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7895047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Jazz58c132.76$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7749358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43f9…2c69backed Trail Blazers47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.665356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.