TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Jazzof Trail Blazers, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,415
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,751

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,415 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Trail Blazers52c476.99$250 inLost-$250.1315245.4%69 W · 83 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jazz42c413.94$175 inWon+$239.375,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Trail Blazers64c376.54$240 inLost-$239.732,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Jazz35c286.37$100 inWon+$186.3719741.6%82 W · 115 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51e6…80d2backed Jazz37c270$100 inWon+$170.13638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ee1…f616backed Trail Blazers49c262$127 inLost-$127.461060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Jazz41c243.9$100 inWon+$143.965649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Trail Blazers66c134.89$89 inLost-$89.039552.6%50 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked Jazz42c120.45$50 inWon+$70.455848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Trail Blazers51c100$51 inLost-$5143246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x564b…8348backed Trail Blazers40c74.09$30 inLost-$29.73966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Jazz77c64.93$50 inWon+$14.9362347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c00…741dbacked Jazz38c55.26$21 inWon+$34.264148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Trail Blazers65c50$33 inLost-$32.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Trail Blazers62c45.2$28 inLost-$27.9266646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Trail Blazers58c45.1$26 inLost-$25.9940849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0edb…8260backed Trail Blazers71c28.17$20 inLost-$207261.1%44 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Jazz77c25.08$19 inWon+$5.7818957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Trail Blazers54c21.74$12 inLost-$11.741,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x230b…1e27backed Jazz50c20$10 inWon+$102777.8%21 W · 6 L+5.7wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+48.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.