NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a57cca7a881584245be98c53dec8fb76870d15e5c178642e99941db0ce3f4a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Jazz | 53c | 38,839$20,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,584.56 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 21,000$9,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,130 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz | 51c | 19,301$9,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,841.26 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 17,304$8,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,825.04 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 15,121$7,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,886.63 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 8,085$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,285.11 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Jazz | 52c | 7,007$3,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,643.76 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Jazz | 52c | 6,500$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,445 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 6,358$2,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,372.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jazz | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Jazz | 53c | 5,170$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.26 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 5,132$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,617.07 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Jazz | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 2,250$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Jazz | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,125$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 712.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.79 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 703.5$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.82 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…bc38backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 700.94$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.91 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +202.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe01a…414fbacked Jazz | 60c | 443.33$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 440.79$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…6c90backed Jazz | 54c | 371$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 345.59$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.59 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 311.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.21 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…c48fbacked Jazz | 53c | 291.43$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.46 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…2b3dbacked Jazz | 56c | 269.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.69 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Jazz | 50c | 253.63$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.82 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Jazz | 60c | 200.28$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Jazz | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Jazz | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Jazz | 9c | 174.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 173.02$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.24 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Jazz | 50c | 156.18$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 155.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.22 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2700…9165backed Jazz | 53c | 128$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Jazz | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jazz | 59c | 120.02$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5304…61cfbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 116.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…b8f3backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 104.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 93.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Jazz | 53c | 86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 78.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Jazz | 53c | 63.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Jazz | 65c | 61.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Jazz | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce2…4d84backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 52.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…bfd6backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 51.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jazz | 64c | 44.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Jazz | 56c | 43.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913d…3110backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f1…68d4backed Jazz | 56c | 34.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Jazz | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 32.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Jazz | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40c…074abacked Jazz | 49c | 30.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Jazz | 54c | 26.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 25.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…b889backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 82 | 64.6%53 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Jazz | 51c | 22.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Jazz won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Brice Sensabaugh: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Kyle Filipowski: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Kyle Filipowski: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Kyle Filipowski: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. JazzTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 235.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Over won
- Vít Krejčí: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.