NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63762b9f0c84f000cb98535787256c787f2d5c0e1114639b2d08f3db08cab719
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 51c | 23,355$11,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,444.08 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…604abacked Over | 49c | 23,157$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,757.03 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Under | 51c | 14,630$7,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,461.3 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Under | 49c | 9,638$4,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,722.6 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…ea8cbacked Under | 49c | 7,315$3,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,584.35 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…1449backed Under | 48c | 6,875$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 49c | 5,306$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 5,068$2,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 52c | 3,087$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.76 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 2,950$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.07 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Over | 71c | 2,526$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.46 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 49c | 2,459$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 52c | 2,450$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 1,910$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.14 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 50c | 1,457$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.73 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 53c | 1,101$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.29 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 52c | 919.23$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.23 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 761.16$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.15 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…fe50backed Over | 52c | 711.54$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.54 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 683.17$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.41 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 51c | 530$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.3 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 51c | 524.46$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.77 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 52c | 465.94$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.65 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 49c | 278$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.78 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 268.18$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.43 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 10c | 194.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 50c | 189.78$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.89 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 153.08$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…27bcbacked Over | 49c | 120.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 49c | 112.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5442…2f88backed Under | 49c | 99.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 86.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 53c | 84.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 47c | 72.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…afd8backed Under | 49c | 55.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa30…c7abbacked Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9300…e1d3backed Over | 56c | 45.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…04d0backed Under | 68c | 44.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Under | 50c | 42.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c4…c5dbbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 53c | 39.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 38.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 49.6%115 W · 117 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 56c | 36.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 49c | 36.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 52c | 32.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Over | 52c | 30.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Over | 57c | 27.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Over | 50c | 24.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 52c | 21.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5304…61cfbacked Over | 52c | 20.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Jazz won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Brice Sensabaugh: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Kyle Filipowski: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Kyle Filipowski: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Kyle Filipowski: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. JazzTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Over won
- Vít Krejčí: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.