TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,112
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,605

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,112 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Under51c17,294$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,800.311,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over45c13,995$6,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,697.3560351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Over49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1006152.5%32 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under55c8,013$4,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,406.924942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under53c7,751$4,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,079.164,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Over49c6,201$3,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,181.36841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over49c5,047$2,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,554.8742648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c4,755$2,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,311.052,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c2,209$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.569,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under55c2,087$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.644953.1%26 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Over49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8211351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Over54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92022055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under54c1,788$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.522,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Over54c1,639$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.8919359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over45c1,345$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under55c1,335$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73440451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over50c1,188$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59458347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8764…604abacked Over42c1,056$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.957266.7%48 W · 24 L+14.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+47%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under54c1,055$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.633,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under58c702.34$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.026,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under51c686.97$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.3631354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over49c646.78$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.861,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c617.53$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.864,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Over49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.216837.5%63 W · 105 L-20.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c370.87$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.118,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over52c340.01$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.251146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba5c…655ebacked Over42c315.99$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.28988.9%8 W · 1 L+4.2wins+0.46per pick43cpaid+119.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1533,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14462347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over46c279.31$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8341947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Under51c215$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.220149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a5…9445backed Under58c212.98$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.94540%18 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10618240.7%74 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over45c191.46$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.31,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbcd…7ab2backed Over46c172$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.881546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over44c170.84$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.675,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Over50c139.6$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.817960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under53c127.92$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8891148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over52c127.34$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.252,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under51c122.05$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.823,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91f3…0d57backed Over52c119.23$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.239348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over47c110$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.336649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0449246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17e7…85a1backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4819556.9%111 W · 84 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe3c9…2669backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43f9…2c69backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.155356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c61…4fa6backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.597057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc78d…7a18backed Under55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Over46c81.74$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1416036.3%58 W · 102 L-15.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xede1…8ad7backed Under51c78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.483839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under49c75.41$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9562844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Under48c72.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3521352.1%111 W · 102 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Over52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3121743.8%95 W · 122 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under58c67$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6271245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Under57c65.69$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1940849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under53c59.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9288057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c58.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.892,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7169…3f14backed Under58c51.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.992254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over51c50.29$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.633,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over51c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.011,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc0…3acebacked Over42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6219848.5%96 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under57c47.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9357657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf71…9f1cbacked Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1711051.8%57 W · 53 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9300…e1d3backed Under52c41.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.571764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+48.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.837037.3%138 W · 232 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Over50c39.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.821637.5%81 W · 135 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over51c37.86$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5538253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under54c36.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.933653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Under60c33.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022646.9%106 W · 120 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…e4abbacked Over46c31.37$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.943641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under52c31.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.275,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf518…af6bbacked Under49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08e5…42acbacked Over52c29.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.311172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+45.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under55c26.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.491,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96b0…b331backed Over49c26.39$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.393948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under49c25.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4795047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5581…c029backed Under49c24.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.962035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Under46c23.53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8215040%60 W · 90 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc816…4b74backed Under48c22.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.916453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08f1…196ebacked Over51c21.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7616543.6%72 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.421553.5%115 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Over52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.687950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.