NBA · resolved market

Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ea9f39fd94df8da60227f9650f95bbba9b0eb41f584eaf7986c8418661afe5c

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Jazz
Resolved: Feb 13, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $470,736
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $489,443

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $470,736 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz	51c	102,309$52,571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52,571.03	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Jazz	52c	49,512$25,506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,506.13	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x869f…7a8bbacked Jazz	50c	37,084$18,638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,638.1	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Trail Blazers	45c	27,690$12,461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,229.5	116	53.4%62 W · 54 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Trail Blazers	52c	25,000$13,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,000	112	52.7%59 W · 53 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ed…15e1backed Jazz	49c	21,428$10,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,499.72	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed Trail Blazers	45c	20,940$9,423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,517.18	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0134…77f1backed Trail Blazers	51c	20,825$10,621 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,204.23	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Trail Blazers	49c	20,010$9,904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,105.7	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz	50c	19,890$9,965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,965.23	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1333…e463backed Trail Blazers	50c	15,601$7,812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,788.96	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-6.2wins	-0.14per pick	53cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Trail Blazers	51c	14,569$7,492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,077.71	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Trail Blazers	50c	12,890$6,445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,444.96	153	49%75 W · 78 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Jazz	50c	12,138$6,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,058.69	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fb…fe50backed Trail Blazers	48c	11,250$5,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,850	51	54.9%28 W · 23 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Trail Blazers	51c	10,806$5,511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,295.21	355	47.3%168 W · 187 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc60e…088cbacked Trail Blazers	54c	10,530$5,687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,842.24	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Trail Blazers	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,900	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Jazz	53c	8,470$4,489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,489.09	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Jazz	49c	8,469$4,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,149.99	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Trail Blazers	47c	8,379$3,938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,440.72	209	48.8%102 W · 107 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Jazz	54c	7,570$4,075 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,074.81	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Trail Blazers	49c	7,421$3,624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,797.1	90	51.1%46 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Trail Blazers	50c	7,174$3,587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,586.95	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Trail Blazers	48c	7,000$3,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,640	453	48.1%218 W · 235 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Trail Blazers	51c	6,863$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,362.75	389	46%179 W · 210 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Trail Blazers	48c	5,834$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,033.72	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Trail Blazers	49c	5,713$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,913.87	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Trail Blazers	51c	5,567$2,839 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,727.81	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Trail Blazers	49c	5,521$2,705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,815.72	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Jazz	55c	5,109$2,811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,810.79	297	48.1%143 W · 154 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Trail Blazers	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,450.13	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Trail Blazers	49c	4,245$2,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,164.9	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Trail Blazers	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	139	54.7%76 W · 63 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz	47c	3,805$1,778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,778.04	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Jazz	56c	3,331$1,865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,864.94	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Trail Blazers	51c	3,082$1,572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,510.35	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz	53c	2,964$1,564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,564.21	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Jazz	48c	2,817$1,352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,352.05	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Trail Blazers	49c	2,780$1,362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,417.8	321	50.8%163 W · 158 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9931…ea8cbacked Trail Blazers	44c	2,708$1,192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,516.7	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz	49c	2,624$1,295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,294.83	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers	48c	2,621$1,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,358.99	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Trail Blazers	51c	2,549$1,291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,258.03	1,759	61.7%1,085 W · 674 L	+127.5wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x44fc…7961backed Trail Blazers	50c	2,418$1,209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,208.96	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4592…49b6backed Jazz	50c	2,418$1,209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,208.96	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x190a…6ae2backed Trail Blazers	52c	2,395$1,245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,149.66	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+35%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6077…ad46backed Jazz	50c	2,382$1,191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,190.98	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Jazz	54c	2,366$1,285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,284.58	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb27f…2c41backed Trail Blazers	56c	2,310$1,298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,012.04	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz	50c	2,280$1,131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,131.4	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6c…8f4ebacked Jazz	50c	2,270$1,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,135	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d8f…2999backed Jazz	48c	2,257$1,083 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,083.46	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Trail Blazers	50c	2,172$1,086 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,086.16	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x197b…a6b0backed Trail Blazers	50c	2,043$1,021 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,021.4	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4958…a146backed Jazz	50c	2,043$1,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,021.4	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.8wins	-0.21per pick	44cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Trail Blazers	51c	2,041$1,041 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999.99	60	55%33 W · 27 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1e6…5266backed Trail Blazers	51c	2,003$1,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$981.55	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Jazz	50c	1,980$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4949…478ebacked Jazz	49c	1,939$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$949.89	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…b291backed Trail Blazers	52c	1,932$1,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$927.13	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Jazz	53c	1,883$1,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,004.91	419	54.4%228 W · 191 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c54…09c4backed Trail Blazers	54c	1,864$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$863.73	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+2.8wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Trail Blazers	50c	1,805$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$904.72	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed Trail Blazers	49c	1,750$858 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$892.5	142	51.4%73 W · 69 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Jazz	49c	1,745$855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$855	248	47.6%118 W · 130 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jazz	42c	1,697$718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717.77	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Trail Blazers	50c	1,642$814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$827.92	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Jazz	52c	1,571$814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$813.96	131	42.7%56 W · 75 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Trail Blazers	56c	1,500$840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660	489	57.5%281 W · 208 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Trail Blazers	49c	1,483$727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$756.51	179	53.1%95 W · 84 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jazz	44c	1,421$628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627.52	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Jazz	47c	1,348$628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$628.05	151	47%71 W · 80 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Trail Blazers	51c	1,344$691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$652.9	99	44.4%44 W · 55 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Jazz	49c	1,300$637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$637	357	49.6%177 W · 180 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Trail Blazers	52c	1,161$604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$557.2	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Trail Blazers	52c	1,125$585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540.2	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Trail Blazers	47c	1,120$526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$593.38	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Jazz	45c	1,055$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.87	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers	49c	1,050$512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$538.55	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Trail Blazers	48c	1,044$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$543.87	98	43.9%43 W · 55 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Trail Blazers	50c	1,010$505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$505	265	53.2%141 W · 124 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Trail Blazers	51c	1,000$505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495	66	57.6%38 W · 28 L	+5.1wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4e3…1080backed Trail Blazers	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	78	42.3%33 W · 45 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Jazz	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	291	49.5%144 W · 147 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Jazz	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Trail Blazers	47c	824$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.72	238	50%119 W · 119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3397…f5abbacked Trail Blazers	46c	800$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Trail Blazers	51c	799.98$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$391.99	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Trail Blazers	44c	786$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440.16	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Jazz	52c	761.35$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.9	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Trail Blazers	49c	752$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.06	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers	44c	719$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$402.64	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa0…d504backed Jazz	46c	714$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.8	83	50.6%42 W · 41 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Jazz	48c	690.41$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.21	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Trail Blazers	51c	660$337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.4	82	52.4%43 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Trail Blazers	51c	650$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.5	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf193…9838backed Jazz	50c	601.73$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	92	41.3%38 W · 54 L	-8.9wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc034…59fbbacked Trail Blazers	51c	600$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Trail Blazers	28c	590.98$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$423.93	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)this page
1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Jazz won
Ace Bailey: Points O/U 18.5No won
Brice Sensabaugh: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 23.5No won
Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Kyle Filipowski: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Kyle Filipowski: Points O/U 15.5No won
Kyle Filipowski: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Trail Blazers won
Trail Blazers vs. JazzTrail Blazers won
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5Over won
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5Over won
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 235.5Over won
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5Over won
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Over won
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Over won
Vít Krejčí: Points O/U 8.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event