TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,475
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,804

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,475 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdaf4…badbbacked Under51c6,863$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over49c6,484$3,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,306.629055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fb1…8ec3backed Over49c3,200$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under51c3,143$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.691,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb589…2a55backed Over49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5302100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Under52c2,100$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09241553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02026755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under53c1,767$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.534,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c1,218$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.669,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Over42c1,187$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.234553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Under53c1,132$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60015154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over49c1,071$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.4356043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under51c1,035$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.971449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Under61c983.42$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60044052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb79…5abebacked Over49c736$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.36475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cca…6143backed Under60c700$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42041550.1%208 W · 207 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd978…f4b0backed Over49c562.73$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under56c524.66$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.923,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Under58c438$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.0418240.7%74 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a08…f99ebacked Over50c430.49$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.251154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd462…eaecbacked Under50c430$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2151330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c411.4$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.274,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Under51c399.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.9915650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2192…dc48backed Under51c390$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over49c367.1$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.221,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Under51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15023435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba5c…655ebacked Over43c231.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.23988.9%8 W · 1 L+4.2wins+0.46per pick43cpaid+119.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8955…3402backed Under51c201$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.51425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5718…24d4backed Under64c199.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.996767.2%45 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9907…f0e6backed Over50c198$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4899…9db1backed Under51c198$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.981060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03a9…9b52backed Over50c196$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd935…6029backed Under51c196$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.96875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+46.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd913…2cf7backed Under58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003438.2%13 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Over51c163$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8722055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over42c153.48$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.226,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b94…44b1backed Under51c145$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e11…644abacked Under70c142.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Under57c140.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c139.02$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.868,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacce…ce8abacked Over47c116.34$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.864753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over56c112.75$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.23,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0491148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Under57c100.09$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4533360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a73…d290backed Over49c100.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.01250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Under64c99.69$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.820149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014252.1%74 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under51c93.02$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4411242%47 W · 65 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Over47c89.17$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0518957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5442…2f88backed Under58c84.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.754763.8%30 W · 17 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1caf…f649backed Under53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over36c65.08$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.651,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over49c65$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.156643.9%29 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Over38c64.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7424330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over35c63.24$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.021,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…a03dbacked Under58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.810957.8%63 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Under49c58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4214751.7%76 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under50c57.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.775,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over46c55.18$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.752,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under61c54.31$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1671245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.561253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59cf…71dabacked Under35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.56227.4%17 W · 45 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2df…82a8backed Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over65c49$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1552052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over33c47.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.643,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Over50c46.16$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.085457.4%31 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under61c44.16$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9957657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over36c44.13$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.241,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over47c43.82$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.232,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Under60c41.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9940849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ec2…c5f1backed Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206053.3%32 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6760…3ad4backed Over40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55626.8%15 W · 41 L-7.7wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-42%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over37c37.19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.573,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc054…7877backed Under51c36.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.52748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Under59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.71,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.737037.3%138 W · 232 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd6…16abbacked Under56c29.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6910558.1%61 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c28.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.542,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7481…279fbacked Under53c28.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515651.9%81 W · 75 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1435049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aee…51a8backed Over50c27.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.862860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Over50c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.527251.1%139 W · 133 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1150…e701backed Under53c26.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.21811.1%2 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-81.4%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over47c25.47$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.595047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd18b…876dbacked Under58c24.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411356.6%64 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69b7…ae1dbacked Under61c24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.649450%47 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd88d…254dbacked Over50c20.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.22683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc9…d5bebacked Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42171.4%15 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf99b…b46dbacked Under51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.25367.9%36 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Under53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.625143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab4…50acbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108351.8%43 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.