TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5ab4…50ac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
168
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT8351.8%43 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$12.4
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
Spurs vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.1
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18.3
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.2
Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17.4
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.2
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17.4
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+61.3%+$11.4
Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT2462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+81.8%+$18
Senators vs. Flyersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
Red Wings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.2
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$13.8
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.3
Maple Leafs vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
Maple Leafs vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Sabres vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$10.8
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.5
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Bruins vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+138.1%+$17.39
Flames vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.5
Avalanche vs. Canadiensbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Predators vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.5
Kings vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+85.2%+$13.8
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Jets vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Utah vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$16.4
Lightning vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+117.4%+$16.2
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Penguins vs. Flamesbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$14.4
All 24 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$806Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$805.99
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.41
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.99
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$168
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$11.27
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$32
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+88.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+92.3%+$14.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Texas Longhorns vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25.6
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+108.3%+$15.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Malkoun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Sharks vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$6.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.