NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bc6736d7856086d1c6d2a33dba389e5cc590a53e6ec821169082c0f9704b261
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Over | 51c | 13,300$6,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,779 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 50c | 7,967$3,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,003.83 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 5,965$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003.87 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 48c | 5,175$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 5,169$2,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 50c | 4,702$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 3,594$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.87 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 3,258$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.93 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…722ebacked Under | 50c | 1,998$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 1,422$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.37 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 930.65$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.91 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 700$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 582.86$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.8 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 274.81$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 44c | 195.36$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.89 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 47c | 155.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Under | 53c | 151.51$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 51c | 148.65$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.81 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 138.39$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Under | 51c | 130$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Under | 48c | 105.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…36bbbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 55c | 93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 36c | 54.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 52c | 47.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 50c | 42.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 45c | 40.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 49c | 39.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 55c | 37.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 52c | 37.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…50acbacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 49c | 25.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 49c | 20.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 50c | 20.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 218.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Hornets won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 20.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. HornetsRockets won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 213.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 214.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 215.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.