NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 213.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32eb4625a5abd0901225af3a3223b79df08751a5cdc539dce015cfeb278ec892
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 43c | 5,165$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948.1 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 58c | 1,911$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.09 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 1,811$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.21 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 41c | 1,608$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Over | 59c | 1,417$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.32 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 63c | 1,400$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.71 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 36c | 1,124$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.33 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 55c | 1,009$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.89 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Over | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 40c | 491.03$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.62 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 29c | 448.34$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.02 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 45c | 396.72$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.41 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…8277backed Over | 63c | 237.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -19.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 45c | 208.89$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.89 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 41c | 199.96$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.48 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd913…2cf7backed Over | 64c | 156.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 58c | 143.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…6bf3backed Over | 59c | 105.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb165…daf7backed Over | 62c | 98.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…111bbacked Under | 40c | 88.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 38c | 87.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Over | 56c | 80.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Under | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…36babacked Over | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 40c | 58.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 39c | 58.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 46c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Over | 62c | 50.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Under | 39c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over | 58c | 45.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 38c | 40.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…8af0backed Over | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…3a5cbacked Under | 42c | 34.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7169…3f14backed Over | 57c | 32.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 38c | 31.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd944…07d5backed Over | 60c | 31.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Over | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…5107backed Over | 57c | 28.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 66c | 17.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 213.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Hornets won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 20.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. HornetsRockets won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 214.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 215.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.