NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9879e9407a97374985910c2b30da11bce548a120ee5a31bc49c6f6282b243162
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Rockets, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $620,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $667,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $620,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Hornets | 49c | 217,952$106,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,155.41 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Rockets | 51c | 128,431$65,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,500 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Rockets | 51c | 100,155$51,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,077.49 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Hornets | 49c | 74,702$36,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,891.44 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked Rockets | 51c | 63,892$32,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,372 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 51c | 38,591$19,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,519.84 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Hornets | 51c | 35,270$17,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,451.78 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Rockets | 51c | 35,000$17,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,850 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Rockets | 51c | 28,316$14,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,330.42 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Rockets | 50c | 22,520$11,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,260.08 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Hornets | 49c | 20,500$10,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,454.99 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Hornets | 49c | 20,253$9,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,331.63 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Rockets | 51c | 20,008$10,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,204.02 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Hornets | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rockets | 50c | 16,802$8,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,373.37 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Hornets | 49c | 11,111$5,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,666.61 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Hornets | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Hornets | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Hornets | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.27 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Hornets | 49c | 8,020$3,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.41 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rockets | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 41c | 7,547$3,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,106.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Hornets | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Rockets | 50c | 6,968$3,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.02 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Hornets | 49c | 6,201$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,162.27 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…8e70backed Hornets | 51c | 5,889$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.21 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -12.4wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Rockets | 52c | 5,808$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 49c | 5,354$2,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623.59 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Hornets | 70c | 4,521$3,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.01 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Hornets | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Hornets | 49c | 4,400$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,243.99 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Rockets | 51c | 4,252$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.52 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Hornets | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Hornets | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…abddbacked Rockets | 51c | 3,918$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.03 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Hornets | 51c | 3,694$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.28 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Hornets | 49c | 3,300$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.01 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Hornets | 51c | 3,300$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets | 50c | 3,268$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.28 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Hornets | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Rockets | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Hornets | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Hornets | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Rockets | 50c | 2,878$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Rockets | 51c | 2,795$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.45 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Rockets | 50c | 2,463$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.06 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Rockets | 50c | 2,371$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.42 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Hornets | 49c | 2,329$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.79 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Rockets | 30c | 2,310$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.68 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…8573backed Rockets | 51c | 2,092$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e2…2c81backed Hornets | 49c | 2,091$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.56 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Rockets | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.98 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Hornets | 50c | 1,991$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.55 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Rockets | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 46c | 1,708$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.82 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets | 49c | 1,632$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.68 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Hornets | 49c | 1,507$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.36 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rockets | 48c | 1,495$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.46 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Hornets | 50c | 1,395$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.4 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Hornets | 51c | 1,225$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.49 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Rockets | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Hornets | 49c | 1,159$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.87 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 49c | 1,061$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Rockets | 51c | 1,041$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.91 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Hornets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Hornets | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockets | 48c | 983.93$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.29 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Rockets | 51c | 940.84$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.83 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Rockets | 51c | 842$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.42 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Hornets | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hornets | 49c | 769.1$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.22 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Hornets | 68c | 726$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.32 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Hornets | 57c | 706$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.04 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Hornets | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Hornets | 51c | 685.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.14 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets | 50c | 627.12$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.56 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Hornets | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Hornets | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Hornets | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecec…b65dbacked Hornets | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Rockets | 49c | 584$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.16 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rockets | 48c | 583$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.84 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Rockets | 52c | 580$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Rockets | 49c | 533.32$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.33 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 49c | 504.61$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.06 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rockets | 49c | 501.7$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.08 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Hornets | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Rockets | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Hornets | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Hornets | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Hornets | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rockets | 33c | 495$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.46 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Rockets | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Hornets | 52c | 482.1$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.1 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Rockets | 48c | 474.94$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.42 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Hornets | 51c | 470.94$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.76 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Rockets | 49c | 426.2$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.74 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Hornets | 52c | 417.31$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.31 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Hornets | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Hornets won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 20.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. HornetsRockets won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 213.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 214.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 215.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.