NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b3fd71860ac8adf191fc0ebf91f5951c77d0b0b6ef02157f79a1bc7314138e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Rockets | 57c | 56,412$32,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,048.73 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Hornets | 42c | 49,641$20,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,849.31 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…8e70backed Hornets | 50c | 5,995$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -12.4wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x76b9…12e4backed Rockets | 57c | 4,693$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 54c | 4,229$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.05 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0bdebacked Hornets | 48c | 3,850$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e75…0c54backed Hornets | 48c | 3,761$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…94b4backed Rockets | 52c | 3,648$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…8f25backed Hornets | 48c | 3,614$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x275e…e9f5backed Rockets | 52c | 3,458$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ae…9e19backed Rockets | 52c | 3,383$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4f…1ca8backed Rockets | 52c | 3,369$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…5185backed Rockets | 52c | 3,352$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Rockets | 35c | 3,317$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.51 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…ca96backed Rockets | 52c | 3,171$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…3fdfbacked Hornets | 48c | 3,145$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…8732backed Hornets | 47c | 3,028$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.06 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Rockets | 51c | 3,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.97 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets | 45c | 2,916$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.76 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c4…6e80backed Rockets | 52c | 2,856$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 68c | 2,799$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.74 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2af…dfa8backed Hornets | 48c | 2,788$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a9…0364backed Hornets | 48c | 2,716$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x550c…b8f9backed Hornets | 48c | 2,447$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb845…1f2dbacked Rockets | 52c | 2,423$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ea…8762backed Hornets | 48c | 2,423$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd248…3b58backed Hornets | 43c | 2,347$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd462…eaecbacked Hornets | 43c | 2,346$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Rockets | 58c | 2,253$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.78 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf3…0df3backed Hornets | 48c | 2,246$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a27…97b5backed Rockets | 52c | 2,213$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Rockets | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Hornets | 43c | 1,919$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9291…3a60backed Hornets | 48c | 1,910$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9df…855cbacked Hornets | 48c | 1,882$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8d…fd61backed Hornets | 48c | 1,851$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe51…6797backed Hornets | 48c | 1,645$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…f3f5backed Rockets | 52c | 1,635$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…0d18backed Rockets | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4c…95c9backed Hornets | 48c | 1,404$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets | 46c | 1,373$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.55 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…19c3backed Rockets | 52c | 1,068$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Hornets | 45c | 1,050$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hornets | 43c | 1,031$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.62 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3299…c325backed Rockets | 52c | 935$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…83bfbacked Rockets | 52c | 932$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9574…7208backed Rockets | 52c | 930$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…3990backed Rockets | 52c | 888$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hornets | 41c | 734.78$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.83 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hornets | 45c | 693.19$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.61 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Hornets | 44c | 657$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.08 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Hornets | 22c | 601.39$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.23 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Hornets | 45c | 593.2$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.94 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Hornets | 42c | 503.06$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.25 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Hornets | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Hornets | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…1da8backed Rockets | 58c | 482.74$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Hornets | 69c | 482.44$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Hornets | 43c | 403.95$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.66 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Hornets | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Hornets | 48c | 309.19$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hornets | 37c | 294.07$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.81 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Hornets | 53c | 283$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Hornets | 44c | 274$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.56 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Rockets | 52c | 270$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Rockets | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Rockets | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Hornets | 43c | 239.22$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.36 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Hornets | 48c | 232$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rockets | 57c | 220.53$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.83 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Hornets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hornets | 43c | 202.2$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Hornets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Hornets | 20c | 193.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Hornets | 48c | 192.3$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Rockets | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Rockets | 38c | 184$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.92 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Hornets | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Rockets | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Rockets | 60c | 140$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Rockets | 36c | 137.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.48 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Hornets | 44c | 137$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…fccdbacked Rockets | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Hornets | 44c | 129.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9904…c488backed Rockets | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…374cbacked Hornets | 44c | 112.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Hornets | 49c | 108.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Hornets | 43c | 108.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Hornets | 17c | 104.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Rockets | 57c | 87.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Hornets | 47c | 83.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 56c | 80.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Rockets | 23c | 80$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Rockets | 63c | 78.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Rockets | 49c | 77.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf902…d23fbacked Rockets | 51c | 70.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Rockets | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Hornets | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Hornets | 33c | 56.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Rockets | 58c | 55.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Hornets won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 20.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. HornetsRockets won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 213.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 214.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 215.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.