TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5e02…1da8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 61 out of 100; worst UFC at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$50.25
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$50.25
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$69.99
Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$60.99
Wizards vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 122.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$49.9
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$50
Spread: Heat (-10.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$50.72
Spread: Thunder (-18.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$127.99
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$155.99
Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Spread: Raptors (-5.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+85.2%+$100.51
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+72.4%+$202.75
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Jamal Murray win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.30per pick55cpaid+52.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Tennis Championships: Zizou Bergs vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$50.91
Mexican Open: Adam Walton vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+72.4%+$49.96
Rio Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Ignacio Busebacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+68.4%+$49.95
Qatar Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$133.99
Qatar Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+74.1%+$99.24
Delray Beach Open: Alex Michelsen vs Sebastian Kordabacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$84
Delray Beach Open: Terence Atmane vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$170.37
Qatar Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+66.7%+$49.99
Qatar Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergsbacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+47.1%+$49.88
Delray Beach Open: Ethan Quinn vs Rafael Jodarbacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Qatar Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Quentin Halysbacked Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+89.8%+$49.38
Rio Open: Gustavo Heide vs Vit Koprivabacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+73.7%+$50.1
Set 1 Winner: Borges vs Wongbacked Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+96.9%+$24.21
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-6.5)backed George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$49.6
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-2.5)backed Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$64.43
Spread: Houston Cougars (-5.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$59.47
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-1.5)backed Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$68.4
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-8.5)backed Bowling Green Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$122.92
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. New Haven Chargers: O/U 121.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+80.2%+$95.4
Spread: George Mason Patriots (-2.5)backed Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+92.3%+$96
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-2.5)backed Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+85.2%+$51.1
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$49.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.