TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mexican Open: Adam Walton vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kovacevicof Walton, Kovacevic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,365
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,860

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,365 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Walton0c40,060$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7111242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Walton15c6,530$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.242,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Walton27c6,357$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.8619134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Kovacevic74c4,347$3,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.236,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Walton38c4,138$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591.3293055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kovacevic73c4,078$2,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.217,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Walton42c2,813$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.9611045.5%50 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Kovacevic78c2,377$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.832,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Kovacevic59c1,860$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.3244754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Walton40c1,750$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca1a…89e5backed Kovacevic58c1,725$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.732853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kovacevic73c1,656$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.92,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Walton26c1,620$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.331,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Walton20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Walton30c1,293$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.042,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Walton27c1,251$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.8318932.3%61 W · 128 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Walton24c1,149$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.861,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ceb…68e3backed Kovacevic80c1,074$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.758056.3%45 W · 35 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-17.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Walton25c999$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.7153644.8%240 W · 296 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Walton30c970.41$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.3324637.4%92 W · 154 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Walton9c895.81$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.32,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Kovacevic80c831.78$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6790854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Kovacevic58c800$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33616648.8%81 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Walton26c780$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.6597046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Walton46c700$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32216133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Walton24c647$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.3499044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Walton16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c2f…499cbacked Walton22c614.75$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.2410345.6%47 W · 56 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Walton43c601$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.4376146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Kovacevic57c591.03$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.121,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Walton43c551$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.7138133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kovacevic57c523.21$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.11,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Kovacevic69c520.73$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.554,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Walton42c493$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.061,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Walton11c484$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.581,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Walton28c447$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1973745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Walton42c430.91$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.9843051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kovacevic69c428$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.743,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89fd…da5dbacked Walton24c421.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.758845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Kovacevic59c418.18$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.1823353.2%124 W · 109 L+0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe9e…7505backed Walton25c402.48$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6213052.3%68 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Walton26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3052…ca02backed Kovacevic74c379.99$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Kovacevic57c348.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.521758.1%126 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Kovacevic62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5847946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Walton43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1291,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x133b…20a3backed Walton38c299.9$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.962263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+45.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Walton34c299.33$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6935944.8%161 W · 198 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Walton42c293.83$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4155241.3%228 W · 324 L-2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Kovacevic54c292$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3265157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Walton43c290.7$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12524560%147 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5067…a127backed Kovacevic60c284.07$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.6310756.1%60 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Kovacevic63c276.68$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.372,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kovacevic75c266$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8465647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Kovacevic79c241.27$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2750364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Kovacevic62c220$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.659348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Walton33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Kovacevic57c199.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8626247.7%125 W · 137 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Walton7c194$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.586,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ff9…e494backed Walton26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036040%144 W · 216 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Walton42c188.1$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7935268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Kovacevic70c177.77$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9412548%60 W · 65 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Kovacevic58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4138951.9%202 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9970…1651backed Kovacevic59c168.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.57714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick49cpaid-75.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Kovacevic74c165$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3169249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Kovacevic58c164.12$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.591,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Walton25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028322.3%63 W · 220 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Walton42c159.71$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0843242.4%183 W · 249 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed Kovacevic64c157.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.373180.6%25 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+29.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Walton26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd84…3df1backed Kovacevic59c145.68$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.73475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7646…b2a1backed Walton42c142.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609938.4%38 W · 61 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32a…dea9backed Walton45c135.56$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6111454.4%62 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Walton44c126$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4438048.4%184 W · 196 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Kovacevic74c124.81$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.871,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Walton44c122.48$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8940744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Walton42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Kovacevic58c118.97$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.973775.7%28 W · 9 L+8.4wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+41.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5e02…1da8backed Kovacevic58c118.95$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.961384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.30per pick55cpaid+52.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Walton43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060641.6%252 W · 354 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64f8…8cadbacked Walton44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kovacevic80c110.52$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Walton26c107.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288619.8%17 W · 69 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-51.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Kovacevic56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1425950.2%130 W · 129 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Walton39c103.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Kovacevic69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Walton42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4228747.7%137 W · 150 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Walton16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Kovacevic74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2614858.8%87 W · 61 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Walton49c99.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9936161.8%223 W · 138 L+41.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Walton41c99.89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Walton20c88.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4757252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Walton39c81.37$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.733,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Walton35c80.62$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9281349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb866…3302backed Walton25c80.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20190%0 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5904…940fbacked Kovacevic58c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8511465.8%75 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Walton32c79.28$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.646,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf232…4fc6backed Walton37c78.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.954761.7%29 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Walton29c76.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.023,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Walton24c75.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810749.5%53 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.