TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf32a…dea9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
162
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Valorant, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 59 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT11454.4%62 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 114 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.26
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.51
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$265.88
Set 1 Winner: Kalinskaya vs Chwalinskabacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$47.85
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$125.3
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.39
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$109.76
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.68
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.01
Cobolli vs. Tien: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.4
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$48.92
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$72.67
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.71
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Vit Koprivabacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$42.09
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Set 1 Winner: Kokkinakis vs Atmanebacked Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Marton Fucsovics vs. Matteo Berrettini: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$40.52
Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$66.56
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.39
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$162.67
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$238.61
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs David Goffinbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+105.9%+$74.1
Showing 25 of 114 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$182.12
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.04
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$330.71
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$60.35
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$109.44
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$56.58
76ers vs. Lakersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$86
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+88%+$87.96
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+117.4%+$77.48
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+122.2%+$73.1
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$73.02
Raptors vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$70.72
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30.85
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+63.9%+$51.51
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$32.74
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-67.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$33.33
Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+47.1%+$35.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+53.8%+$21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+69.5%+$72.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.