TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paper Rexof Paper Rex, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$395,844
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$422,669

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $395,844 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked NRG47c97,614$45,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,399.887236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Paper Rex54c93,188$50,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,869.362638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Paper Rex65c44,827$29,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,534.9534356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked NRG28c36,062$10,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,091.25333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Paper Rex51c17,237$8,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,474.634740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed NRG46c12,387$5,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,697.976643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked NRG49c10,015$4,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,927.0926838.1%102 W · 166 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed NRG29c9,912$2,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,905.898751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Paper Rex53c9,011$4,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,227.5713558.5%79 W · 56 L+11.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8fd…40ebbacked Paper Rex52c7,789$4,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,705.16742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Paper Rex58c7,027$4,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,941.2468458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed NRG51c7,008$3,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,583.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x858e…1c3bbacked Paper Rex62c5,899$3,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,225.531963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Paper Rex49c5,349$2,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,710.1619157.1%109 W · 82 L+23.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Paper Rex57c4,806$2,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,089.0665559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x697f…b756backed NRG47c4,751$2,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,244.5313345.9%61 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed NRG33c4,320$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.3581834.8%285 W · 533 L-61.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Paper Rex52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9201060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaccb…61dcbacked Paper Rex52c3,573$1,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Paper Rex52c3,246$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,558.082245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x63c2…606bbacked NRG27c3,000$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Paper Rex62c2,893$1,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.3862156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed NRG56c2,719$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.696746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed NRG50c2,500$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.984637%17 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked NRG38c2,469$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.218848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed NRG34c2,446$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.5517537.7%66 W · 109 L-14.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed NRG48c2,292$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed Paper Rex49c2,279$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.365650%28 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Paper Rex52c2,238$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.951225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Paper Rex66c2,144$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.5113759.9%82 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Paper Rex52c2,131$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.13862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+64.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed NRG34c2,028$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.4826634.6%92 W · 174 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed NRG32c1,936$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62610956%61 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbeb9…3870backed NRG13c1,876$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.72934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdec6…1d8ebacked Paper Rex52c1,824$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.523855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed NRG25c1,776$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.3646526.7%124 W · 341 L-25.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed NRG48c1,700$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81216142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Paper Rex59c1,645$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.941,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf459…7a53backed Paper Rex61c1,639$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.316159%36 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Paper Rex73c1,630$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.871,42251.3%729 W · 693 L+49.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Paper Rex53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7057456.8%42 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked NRG46c1,498$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.1415850%79 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Paper Rex50c1,323$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.1726050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Paper Rex49c1,311$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.796445.3%29 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Paper Rex49c1,306$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.5519648.5%95 W · 101 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb877…a13fbacked Paper Rex57c1,196$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.5224732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NRG47c1,166$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9834847.4%165 W · 183 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked NRG48c1,109$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.24535.6%16 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b22…ba7bbacked Paper Rex49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5614535.6%16 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Paper Rex52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48033348.3%161 W · 172 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Paper Rex54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4603246.9%15 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+37.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed NRG50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009837.8%37 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Paper Rex44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a93…ed13backed Paper Rex50c1,000$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+93.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x757f…311dbacked NRG27c999.98$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702040%8 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Paper Rex53c999.98$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.9916639.2%65 W · 101 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa47b…bae9backed NRG47c986.21$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Paper Rex52c970$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.628548.4%138 W · 147 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed NRG34c893.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Paper Rex74c883.44$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.411741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed NRG53c863.8$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.26256.5%35 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0002…103ebacked NRG48c830$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.43148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed Paper Rex54c781.48$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.4810655.7%59 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Paper Rex72c772.28$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.9419248.4%93 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4363…d6e0backed Paper Rex52c734.75$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Paper Rex49c700$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35715553.5%83 W · 72 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9eea…d62ebacked Paper Rex67c688.28$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.121145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Paper Rex50c679.99$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.3932241.9%135 W · 187 L-15.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Paper Rex47c670.21$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.219953.5%53 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Paper Rex49c639.42$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.8726051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Paper Rex47c598.24$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.243852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2701…7d87backed NRG51c583.84$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Paper Rex80c576$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.2621055.2%116 W · 94 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Paper Rex53c566$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.025244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Paper Rex62c559.28$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9370251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed Paper Rex46c546.72$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.893100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed NRG51c539.44$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.727650%38 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a1…23e6backed NRG33c534.43$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e3…0b75backed NRG47c531.92$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010551.4%54 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300d…b3a0backed NRG28c520.03$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1386…a692backed NRG28c514.29$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-39.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfd3…1e9bbacked NRG2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Paper Rex52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Paper Rex52c499.97$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9928740.8%117 W · 170 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Paper Rex59c493.08$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.5678562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Paper Rex72c479.44$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.247561.3%46 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed NRG47c460$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.22339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed NRG46c448.78$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.445455.6%30 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed Paper Rex52c425.24$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.6134853.7%187 W · 161 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed NRG48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2c3…16ccbacked Paper Rex49c410$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.18343.4%36 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Paper Rex49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.164452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Paper Rex51c408.05$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.6119945.2%90 W · 109 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Paper Rex50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed NRG37c396.61$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.256131.1%19 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-35.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x55f8…ac78backed NRG31c381.28$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.882441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Paper Rex49c380.47$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.3610661.3%65 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG36c377.51$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.311,60737.5%603 W · 1,004 L-75.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa390…c7d9backed NRG28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008020%16 W · 64 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…8be8backed NRG14c357$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6314757.8%85 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.