TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof Paper Rex, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,052
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,509

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,052 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee8e…0a7bbacked NRG53c5,578$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,637.2878162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Paper Rex43c4,365$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880.2119248.4%93 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Paper Rex52c4,347$2,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,270.8534356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Paper Rex47c3,809$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.4765559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Paper Rex47c3,769$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.1268458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed NRG51c3,623$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.016746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed NRG55c2,072$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.617561.3%46 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Paper Rex50c1,698$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.819157.1%109 W · 82 L+23.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed NRG53c1,604$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.7719240.1%77 W · 115 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked NRG50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Paper Rex48c1,527$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7338848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Paper Rex51c1,250$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.51216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-57.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed NRG46c999.99$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.994637%17 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked NRG53c981.13$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.13771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+60.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed NRG59c914.18$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.7362156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed NRG58c902.76$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.7626051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed NRG52c856.61$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.176256.5%35 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed NRG51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.3110956%61 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed NRG55c783.21$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.7681134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Paper Rex29c760.54$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.6188844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Paper Rex47c752.72$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.2970251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed NRG53c718$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.5214252.8%75 W · 67 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed NRG54c673.7$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.919945.2%90 W · 109 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed Paper Rex48c649.81$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.925650%28 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b22…ba7bbacked NRG52c629.69$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.254535.6%16 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed NRG65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.389953.5%53 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Paper Rex47c599.82$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.921838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked NRG53c513.99$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.281478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG52c500.74$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.261,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NRG61c466.82$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.361,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked Paper Rex54c440.35$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed NRG59c411.09$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.5610159.4%60 W · 41 L+11.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed NRG53c378.77$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.023852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73e6…5cb1backed NRG54c372.08$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.41154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Paper Rex50c343$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.55939%23 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b82…a340backed Paper Rex36c322.33$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.62642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Paper Rex35c303.17$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10636138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked NRG54c242.39$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.052759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG52c237.56$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.161,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Paper Rex19c230.28$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.877635.5%27 W · 49 L-7.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x55ea…f3e1backed Paper Rex48c211.85$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed NRG59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8223644.9%106 W · 130 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked NRG62c193.1$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.151948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed NRG53c187.04$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9110661.3%65 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed NRG57c171.66$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.819845.9%45 W · 53 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1d1…e8acbacked Paper Rex48c158.29$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.981233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2c3…16ccbacked Paper Rex33c151.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508343.4%36 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d43…3f6cbacked NRG52c151.52$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.139965.7%65 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbffe…5664backed Paper Rex57c139.35$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked NRG51c107.04$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4526738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd31…8004backed Paper Rex46c104.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6822047.7%105 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32f7…327fbacked Paper Rex49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Paper Rex18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182416.7%4 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafb2…2825backed Paper Rex53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+59.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99a2…feedbacked Paper Rex23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed NRG53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4732141.7%134 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bfc…f43dbacked Paper Rex48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Paper Rex25c97.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3957517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1cde…3a5fbacked NRG53c94.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.43666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49df…f885backed NRG47c92.81$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.781752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed NRG74c82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7166438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Paper Rex30c75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.525141.4%104 W · 147 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60a6…edeebacked Paper Rex35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Paper Rex37c67.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.121330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d4d…fe4abacked Paper Rex52c61.53$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.69560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c20…3e11backed NRG53c55.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.262045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x199b…354ebacked Paper Rex52c55.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.145639.3%22 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x214a…d34bbacked Paper Rex58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed NRG44c50.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.75425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-42.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb0f…8175backed NRG53c50.7$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.836453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c3…466cbacked NRG53c45.28$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.28666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked NRG53c43.92$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.641662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5107…691abacked NRG52c40.77$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked Paper Rex28c39.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked NRG48c38.46$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2086747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed NRG61c38$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8219648.5%95 W · 101 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4814…9a18backed Paper Rex58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Paper Rex49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.863652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d03…b8a6backed NRG53c28.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5115255.9%85 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89bc…a463backed NRG53c24.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.532254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a8…2a71backed NRG53c24.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.535100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xea59…0d07backed Paper Rex50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b23…8af0backed Paper Rex50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf3…bc59backed NRG53c18.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.