Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35e2e28ffb4540dc4abe0e501a98d3d87b1eaffc91f029e2eee670b3b0b002d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Paper Rex, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Paper Rex | 39c | 4,247$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.37 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed NRG | 51c | 2,698$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.53 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…3c97backed NRG | 70c | 2,590$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Paper Rex | 59c | 2,362$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.58 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Paper Rex | 55c | 2,079$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.28 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Paper Rex | 48c | 1,946$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.89 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NRG | 30c | 1,165$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.11 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…5baebacked NRG | 28c | 1,078$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked NRG | 60c | 1,067$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…1c3bbacked NRG | 39c | 1,062$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.44 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed NRG | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked NRG | 45c | 966.05$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.58 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Paper Rex | 56c | 754.11$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.32 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NRG | 46c | 700.67$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.41 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Paper Rex | 76c | 662.5$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Paper Rex | 63c | 582.77$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed NRG | 35c | 508.72$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.89 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed NRG | 52c | 399.12$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.79 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked NRG | 33c | 368.8$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Paper Rex | 55c | 335.11$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.62 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…74d4backed NRG | 31c | 318.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1386…a692backed NRG | 48c | 303.94$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c3…16ccbacked Paper Rex | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.45 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…65a5backed NRG | 61c | 248.04$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b82…a340backed Paper Rex | 44c | 224.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.81 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed Paper Rex | 56c | 205.12$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…3f6cbacked Paper Rex | 55c | 196.39$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.22 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed NRG | 56c | 190$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…5664backed Paper Rex | 62c | 176.88$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…834ebacked Paper Rex | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…df30backed Paper Rex | 59c | 170.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…8e37backed Paper Rex | 75c | 140.35$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…327fbacked Paper Rex | 42c | 131.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed NRG | 30c | 122.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x199b…354ebacked NRG | 44c | 112.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed NRG | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Paper Rex | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…feedbacked Paper Rex | 39c | 93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40dd…e214backed NRG | 39c | 85.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Paper Rex | 59c | 85.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…e8acbacked Paper Rex | 50c | 76.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…63a4backed NRG | 59c | 74.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…1ac5backed NRG | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0f…8175backed NRG | 47c | 64.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49df…f885backed Paper Rex | 44c | 63.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37db…dff4backed Paper Rex | 47c | 63.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d70…0593backed Paper Rex | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Paper Rex | 74c | 51.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed NRG | 40c | 50.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…227bbacked NRG | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5959…4c4cbacked Paper Rex | 49c | 40.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55f8…ac78backed NRG | 28c | 39.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed NRG | 53c | 37.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 218 | 59.2%129 W · 89 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbe…cec2backed NRG | 36c | 33.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ec…f6e4backed Paper Rex | 37c | 33.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…a463backed Paper Rex | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8d…8592backed Paper Rex | 58c | 26.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ba…e1e2backed Paper Rex | 58c | 24.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c3…466cbacked Paper Rex | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…df57backed NRG | 47c | 23.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Paper Rex | 59c | 23.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Paper Rex | 52c | 23.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Paper Rex | 55c | 22.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed NRG | 60c | 21.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…3a5fbacked Paper Rex | 59c | 19.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group StagePaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.