TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5959…4c4c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 58 out of 100; worst Valorant at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4339.5%17 W · 26 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Valorant — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: GIANTX vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Fnatic - Map 1 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.64
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+103.9%+$15.61
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+85%+$11.57
Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.27
Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.89
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.47
Valorant: DRX vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$20.51
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.99
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.27
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.03
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.61
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$8.92
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT4170.7%29 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.33
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$17.74
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.4
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.25
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.51
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+156.7%+$22.65
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.37
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.11
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.84
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$27.96
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.01
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.91
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.95
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.59
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.91
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.99
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$17.65
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.94
LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.66
LoL: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.32
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.24
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.8
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.24
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+97%+$14.54
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+26.2%+$9.16
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20.33
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.98
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+83.5%+$9.75
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$16.72
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30.9
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.02
VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.37
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.59
Real Oviedo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.