TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,679
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,507

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,679 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd119…28abbacked Over68c8,394$5,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,686.21030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under29c8,253$2,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,383.363,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe56…593abacked Under1c6,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60100%0 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under1c6,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1fcd…445ebacked Under1c6,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6060%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under26c4,746$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.622,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under29c2,761$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.991950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under28c2,118$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.471,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over72c2,100$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5885653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.991855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over72c1,750$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4904761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over69c1,440$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.431963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cb5…bc24backed Over73c1,078$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under23c958.12$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.7870239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over70c876.24$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.872360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over68c737.22$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.261546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over69c711.16$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.467054.3%38 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under28c683.43$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.362245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over68c576.94$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over72c564.83$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.263381.8%27 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick70cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under32c540$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.84254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under30c535.88$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.121,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Over77c503.61$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.831435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-42.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1609345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1407266.7%48 W · 24 L+9.3wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over72c499.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1406959.4%41 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over72c499.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14012358.5%72 W · 51 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe96f…70bbbacked Over69c497.81$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under21c487.23$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4438047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over72c449.98$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.997958.2%46 W · 33 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under31c413.77$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.271,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Over72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1125959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under28c387.32$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.45560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over68c377.05$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.815846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under33c358.82$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.414141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845761.4%35 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846159%36 W · 25 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under31c282.72$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.512352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Over70c274.96$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.492487.5%21 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick73cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under32c253.06$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6412633.3%42 W · 84 L-21.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Over72c250$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705759.6%34 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over72c250$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706552.3%34 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under31c247.24$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.43357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Over68c240.3$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.894757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under31c237.83$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.82560%15 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over75c236.64$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2414767.3%99 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over67c225.34$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.362748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over70c219.22$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.012347.8%11 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b43…0f61backed Under33c206.76$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.23540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under31c205.85$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.013145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under30c194.18$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8666150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under19c182.15$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.282,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over67c179.98$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3919546.2%90 W · 105 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under30c179.27$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.375547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under26c155.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.725263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over66c152$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.681855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Over72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422458.3%14 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over68c144.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.168369.9%58 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under31c140.93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6913040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked Over75c131.33$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.836352.4%33 W · 30 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under32c119.9$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.371526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under30c118.01$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4614552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under33c111$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.632343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over69c109.52$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9517447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under28c108.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.41944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under28c108.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.411145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Under28c108.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.411758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Under28c108.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.414546.7%21 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under28c108.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.415740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8b9…46e4backed Under28c108.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.411250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e4…f926backed Under20c106.15$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.881926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under28c85.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.924151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Under28c85.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.92714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-79.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d1f…acafbacked Under28c85.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.92650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under28c84.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.623164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under21c83.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5474155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over79c82.36$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1533522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Over72c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-54.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under36c77.71$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6150154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over78c77.58$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3513256.8%75 W · 57 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under28c73.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4714654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under28c73.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.478853.4%47 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under28c73.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.475265.4%34 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under28c73.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.478254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under28c73.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4710956%61 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under28c73.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.474850%24 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under28c73.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4711443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under28c73.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.474461.4%27 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under28c73.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.473259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over68c72.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.089257.6%53 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed Over68c72.07$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under28c67.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.773855.3%21 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over74c66.51$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.291090%9 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick66cpaid+51.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Under28c61.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.383946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf12…8bdfbacked Under31c60.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4acd…66d4backed Over73c56.49$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.25540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-46.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under35c52.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2610344.7%46 W · 57 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over66c51.93$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.517553.3%40 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Over72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6a…8aa7backed Over72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.