Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b7505f5ef94a8f494ff101ae1509cdf72217d35c820bf7d8e9935e61af8c1b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Betis Balompiéof SC Braga, Real Betis Balompié
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb272…ee5abacked SC Braga | 17c | 2,078$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SC Braga | 32c | 1,515$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.93 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Betis Balompié | 76c | 1,373$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.96 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed SC Braga | 17c | 1,097$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.45 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Real Betis Balompié | 74c | 665.14$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.94 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.31per pick | 60cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked SC Braga | 15c | 515.18$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed SC Braga | 17c | 307.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…3772backed SC Braga | 17c | 223.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed SC Braga | 16c | 182.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed SC Braga | 34c | 112.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed SC Braga | 27c | 107.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked SC Braga | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SC Braga | 31c | 96.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed SC Braga | 33c | 87.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed SC Braga | 24c | 82.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Real Betis Balompié | 68c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Real Betis Balompié | 73c | 40.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…0e52backed Real Betis Balompié | 77c | 36.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Real Betis Balompié | 80c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Real Betis Balompié | 74c | 31.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Real Betis Balompié | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…b45fbacked Real Betis Balompié | 72c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Real Betis Balompié | 66c | 20.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Real Betis Balompié | 79c | 14.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)this page
- SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.