Europa Conference League · resolved market
SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb305015188d2d49bd6fbd313fa3d653446ae002ba9ecccfa19484c580e720db5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 13c | 4,356$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.8 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 20c | 2,765$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.97 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 24c | 1,200$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.1 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 16c | 997.26$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.34 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 25c | 538.62$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.66 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 76c | 512.7$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 24c | 499.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 75c | 401.22$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 71c | 327.22$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.61 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 37c | 301.15$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.87 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 38c | 290.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.16 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…e7d1backed Over | 10c | 283.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 26c | 283$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Under | 76c | 274.42$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.86 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 70cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 21c | 270.54$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under | 76c | 259.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa59f…2e59backed Over | 10c | 236.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 77c | 208.86$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 19c | 179.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 76c | 174.95$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 21c | 169$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Under | 68c | 164.78$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 24c | 154$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 79c | 136.46$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 79c | 136.46$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 79c | 136.46$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 79c | 136.46$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 79c | 135.24$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 62c | 133$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -21.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 75c | 129.66$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 79c | 125.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 79c | 125.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 79c | 125.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 79c | 125.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 79c | 125.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 75c | 123.22$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…ade9backed Over | 27c | 109.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Under | 79c | 100.16$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 24c | 97.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 27c | 88.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 22c | 82.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 24c | 79.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 75c | 76.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 38c | 74.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 20c | 73.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Under | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 76c | 71.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 76c | 69.83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…604ebacked Under | 76c | 67.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Under | 76c | 67.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 78c | 63.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Under | 80c | 61.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 80c | 61.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…4198backed Over | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 34c | 49.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 78c | 39.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 80c | 37.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 37.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 73c | 35.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Under | 79c | 35.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -12.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 77c | 30.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 66c | 29.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d84…4b14backed Under | 77c | 25.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 79c | 24.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…da1ebacked Under | 72c | 20.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Under | 74c | 17.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c01…59a0backed Under | 75c | 17.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…a279backed Under | 74c | 16.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…2bf2backed Under | 80c | 13.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cee…1b15backed Under | 80c | 13.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 75c | 13.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5this page
- SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.