TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$500,577
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$493,094

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $500,577 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 348 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under57c162,631$92,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,448.871145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Under54c125,784$67,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,960.062653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over43c61,267$26,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,445.543,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Over46c47,157$21,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,692.221127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-52.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c21,862$9,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,933.8844952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01ba…d35fbacked Under36c20,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,800825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Over46c18,888$8,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,688.484553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c14,627$7,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,237.491,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over43c14,319$6,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,175.345740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over42c13,110$5,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,506.3643344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over42c13,040$5,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,443.1812832.8%42 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over54c12,419$6,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,696.492,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Over44c12,000$5,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2804259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Over43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,300837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under49c7,574$3,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,859.472650%13 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over45c5,292$2,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,358.8991950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Over43c5,243$2,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.12728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Over44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20050%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over44c5,000$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2101855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Over40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.96580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+60.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over47c4,889$2,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,298.022356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Over19c4,093$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.731145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8406858.8%40 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under60c3,434$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.561181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick61cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under58c3,433$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.999954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2005653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Over31c2,973$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.22920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-52.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Over45c2,611$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.91837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Over44c2,300$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0122123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.3wins-0.25per pick49cpaid-55.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over44c2,280$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.399858.2%57 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over39c2,099$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.046944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Over30c2,094$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.28425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-65.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over43c2,055$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.195263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Over40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over45c2,000$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8901,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over44c1,776$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.291154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over46c1,750$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8054761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ca3…590fbacked Over41c1,653$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.16944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over44c1,615$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.023357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over44c1,604$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.3511443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6789…6302backed Over46c1,541$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over41c1,540$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.433745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over32c1,513$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.3833522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Over43c1,512$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over36c1,339$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.143050%15 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Over43c1,317$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.34757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over43c1,285$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.2914552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Over60c1,190$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.581546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over44c1,151$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.8614654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over44c1,149$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.654461.4%27 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over44c1,126$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.868254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over44c1,107$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.155265.4%34 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over44c1,103$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over44c1,067$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.285547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over46c1,053$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.263953.8%21 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over45c1,051$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.7410956%61 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Over46c1,001$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.462445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfff1…5e20backed Over43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x335d…8f03backed Over44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46016242.6%69 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over42c1,000$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4158345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46088048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over24c998.01$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.14812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-81.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under56c956.21$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.735545.5%25 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over44c880.41$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.034850%24 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over45c878.51$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.331163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+64.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under31c866.14$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.39650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over43c857.36$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.6655545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over58c839.81$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.091855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over45c838.55$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.94141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over46c832.7$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.162245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over46c752.27$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.2213040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under61c725.02$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.3338047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4b3…c131backed Over30c700$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+85.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0a8…2282backed Over64c691.44$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.52450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked Under59c658.41$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.192166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+52.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over42c648.64$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.437054.3%38 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over37c618.97$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.8935944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Over47c618$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.461643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x834e…acb7backed Over48c600$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over42c599.98$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.995856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over44c590.81$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.712,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over41c578.76$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.294854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under52c571.27$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.5570239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over51c570.94$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.184341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Over47c541.78$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.64425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over69c530.4$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.9815562.6%97 W · 58 L+22.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Over44c527.13$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.941747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over26c525.58$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.656235.5%22 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over44c517.32$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.682352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfbf…8c7bbacked Over78c505.08$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2307266.7%48 W · 24 L+9.3wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23012358.5%72 W · 51 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2306959.4%41 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Over20c499.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under59c499.98$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.999345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over52c494.36$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.012748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Over51c485.3$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over44c484$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.281,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.