TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9cee…1b15

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
34
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.19
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$16.61
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.59
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.83
Sabres vs. Ducksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.09
Lightning vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$4.43
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.47
Bruins vs. Red Wingsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$7.93
Islanders vs. Canadiensbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
Blues vs. Canucksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$14.95
Kraken vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$17
Golden Knights vs. Predatorsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$3.6
Blackhawks vs. Wildbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$61.05
Senators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+111.5%+$51.73
Predators vs. Jetsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15
Bruins vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$9.01
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.32
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.49
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.15
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CDP Junior FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+49%+$5.18
Recoleta FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.95
SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$37.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$10.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$3.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.