TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-04-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,517
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,032

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,517 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3de4…b032backed Yes31c36,820$11,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,414.091040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2305…0acebacked No69c15,775$10,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,890.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c12,627$7,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,738.5598844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes13c11,669$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002737%10 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No68c7,201$4,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,306.6411055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes32c7,044$2,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,254.11156.7%1 W · 14 L-5.1wins-0.34per pick41cpaid-77%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c4,323$2,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.9943748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No69c4,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2401968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes31c3,695$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.3546644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9301758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.992763%17 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes23c2,176$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed Yes21c2,080$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.521855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No69c1,750$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.52568%17 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes58c1,666$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.7415140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed No69c1,628$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.54580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes31c1,290$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005935.6%21 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes55c1,226$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.451822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-49.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No69c1,048$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.73450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No68c1,000$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.34850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0168…0905backed Yes19c930.42$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.791752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+52.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Yes67c796.4$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b83…f841backed Yes33c704.82$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Yes32c701$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.322944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40f6…7bd7backed No69c680.04$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.811947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No47c676.52$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.335754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No56c672.6$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.87450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes48c625$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.921952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes23c600$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1386129.5%18 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes31c519.34$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.0611752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes32c518.17$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.817549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed No69c507.25$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.25580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked No69c507.25$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1553745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1551764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1552070%14 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+34.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1551770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb778…6492backed Yes32c480$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x077f…b971backed Yes30c480$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No69c450$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.52157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.788139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No42c405.38$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.2610857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1242263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes31c397.49$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9911057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No68c388.82$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.0930055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Yes60c382$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.461855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes62c375.08$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.735246.2%24 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No69c334.08$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb68e…30cfbacked No74c320.01$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Yes62c315.51$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.771643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ec9…b76bbacked Yes15c310.68$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+60.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0115…ca23backed Yes62c301.69$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.68450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+42.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931675%12 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked No69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.86683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+41.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed No69c284$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.041070%7 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick74cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked No76c263.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.421060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes48c257.77$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.535853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No69c250$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.52065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No69c250$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.51872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb502…145cbacked Yes32c246.88$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-45.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes68c231.67$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.312748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed No68c226.93$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b8…b4d4backed Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes67c221.33$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.151258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No70c211.72$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6510837%40 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No68c210$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.23063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No68c210$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.22766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed Yes20c209.44$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No70c205$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.511940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No70c204.66$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.413243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No76c204.07$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.554553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes62c198.91$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.425154.9%28 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No77c195.23$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.635257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No76c192.5$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.534452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No76c192.5$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.535255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No76c192.5$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.536352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked No76c192.5$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.531450%7 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No79c187.78$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.374355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No68c185$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.22864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No68c174$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6816858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea87…8066backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aae…4599backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcca9…af95backed Yes9c161.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4630%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked No76c159.19$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.541546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes33c156.42$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.622416.7%4 W · 20 L-6.3wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-66.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc6d8…0748backed Yes32c155.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes68c154.78$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2514047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No38c152.68$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.66683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+73.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Yes63c150$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.513540.7%55 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.51668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes31c146.52$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.95955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+46.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed No69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.933100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No74c136$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366549.2%32 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed No74c136$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362564%16 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No74c135.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.593946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No67c133.15$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0430536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.