TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-04-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,288
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,118

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,288 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes2c30,781$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.24141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes69c18,923$13,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,057.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No36c16,431$5,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,506.1346644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No32c14,159$4,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,602.681471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+70.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes61c8,861$5,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,415.2913049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de4…b032backed No31c4,840$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,340.391040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes63c4,528$2,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,857.4447850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes4c2,760$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.054124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes43c2,326$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Yes69c2,300$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,586.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+92.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes61c2,296$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.1998844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes59c2,286$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.114553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No58c2,202$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.2511055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No76c1,523$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.922878.6%22 W · 6 L+5.3wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+48.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes66c1,410$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.3314047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes70c1,282$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.44944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+80.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Yes70c1,246$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.5540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Yes70c1,096$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.1230%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed No31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6902166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+42.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No57c995.33$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.0311752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Yes41c880.49$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes70c850.04$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.885352.8%28 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No36c800$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5166129.5%18 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed No48c732$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.341855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e67…0f23backed Yes71c704.3$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes42c692$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.646746.3%31 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No56c574.3$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.9511057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No32c555.61$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.955257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No32c554.14$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.494553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b83…f841backed Yes43c502$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Yes3c440$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-37.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No64c428.5$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.221258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes10c355.41$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2912532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes71c352.11$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504845.8%22 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed No37c348.26$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.922842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes21c341.83$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6714843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes42c335.54$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1616858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No32c311.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.463946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Yes26c304.76$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784546.7%21 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2589…5bb3backed Yes70c296.47$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes42c291.46$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0430055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes44c289$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.164928.6%14 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d46…3248backed Yes20c252$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.510837%40 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No58c247.92$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1310757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002650%13 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes67c220.73$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.893531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x741b…4a79backed No57c199.61$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes42c187.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2843748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No56c179.98$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1910448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8dc…8d7ebacked No59c170$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8525…0dc3backed No59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.293262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No32c155.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.215846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No80c152$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.866471.9%46 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes66c151.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+102.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes43c147.07$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2413243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa6…e56cbacked Yes14c145$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No68c140.87$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.541181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick62cpaid+33%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea81…4f4bbacked Yes8c131$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+108.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No32c126.06$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.415154.9%28 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No32c125.74$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.13357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No32c125.74$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.15754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40f6…7bd7backed Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No32c115.07$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.954355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Yes44c114.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x275d…7fc7backed No41c113.73$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes68c113.72$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.692657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed No31c112.9$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.91450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7586…5470backed Yes42c112.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92a6…19bbbacked Yes71c105.68$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No57c104.93$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.123574.3%26 W · 9 L+8.1wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+49.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes43c104.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Yes34c101$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.821844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes40c98.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.481323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb4e…6081backed Yes71c95.87$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+60.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes51c94.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.41957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccb3…2eadbacked Yes43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No41c90.62$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8711050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c5f…7a4ebacked Yes41c90.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No58c90$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.82665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddd7…0827backed Yes70c87.04$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9330%0 W · 3 L-2.2wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No38c77.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0616865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes43c77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1111940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0796…8264backed Yes70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No37c70.29$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9523551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf41d…5e45backed Yes70c66.96$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8730%0 W · 3 L-2.2wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77a9…6bb5backed Yes70c64.1$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8720%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f46…98fcbacked No32c62.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb792…fa38backed Yes68c60.29$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-71.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked No49c57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.011952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No34c56.41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.031650%8 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed No57c55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed No32c53.45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.187100%7 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+85.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked No59c51.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.844353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed No47c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.541855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecea…ac99backed Yes71c49.3$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Yes68c49$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.271353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c73…dd8fbacked Yes66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No37c45.14$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.525853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.