TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,619
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,116

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,619 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbff2…da71backed No75c45,062$33,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,979.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes26c19,592$5,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,497.9611055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes22c11,596$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,096.172737%10 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes26c11,048$2,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,175.4943748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No78c6,149$4,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,797.8146644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No73c5,280$3,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,860.364148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes24c4,432$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,383.5115140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c4,020$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.3398844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Yes27c3,753$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,740.1614060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes25c2,751$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.4630954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed No74c2,703$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Yes26c2,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+92.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No79c1,190$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.48944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+80.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de4…b032backed No60c1,184$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.671040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked No79c1,161$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.95540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5732…703bbacked Yes26c1,155$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.193100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+187.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes40c1,111$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.764553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes26c1,042$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.1110757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked No80c975.6$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.4830%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes21c952.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.381931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes22c909.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.091040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes17c899.99$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.995119.6%10 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes27c852.11$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.04977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+75.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No79c784.32$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.015352.8%28 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes27c666$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.2716858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbd9…230abacked No74c612$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0c85backed No74c606$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9984…cfdcbacked No74c604$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes27c555.56$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.566129.5%18 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes27c555.56$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.564845.8%22 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Yes20c520.5$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.41353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+56.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Yes54c499.58$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.052560%15 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes29c429.62$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.2623551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes25c423.16$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.381822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-49.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes22c422.73$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.738129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes26c393.52$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.211752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes26c330.67$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.1312532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Yes26c300$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2226147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed No74c300$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2225244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes26c299.97$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9711057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No28c287.07$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7510633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcca9…af95backed No10c219.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…a2d6backed Yes42c210$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+44.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cfc…7f6bbacked No8c208.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ccb…6e97backed No74c202.7$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes26c200$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1492548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40f6…7bd7backed Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.191947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed No80c162.5$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Yes25c160$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes24c158.66$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.8910857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd851…4616backed Yes23c157.62$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.88560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick26cpaid+146%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0b8…b4d4backed No62c144.1$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3440%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed Yes27c142.72$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.191861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes33c135.91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.035853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked No80c125.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.982250%11 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecea…ac99backed Yes25c122.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes34c118.74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.931070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+61.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ec9…b76bbacked Yes21c117.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.19955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+60.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes26c115.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.564353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No18c111.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1414843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Yes27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.113145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Yes46c106.58$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+45.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734637%17 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe968…de6fbacked No74c99.91$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes24c98.75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.959714.4%14 W · 83 L-13.0wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No80c96.21$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.715246.2%24 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed No80c96.21$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.711533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-47.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked No80c96.21$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.711546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No80c96.21$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.712445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No80c96.21$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.711643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed No80c95.89$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.711154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No80c95.89$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.712748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No80c95.89$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.716352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.912030%6 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed No62c82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.43633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed No64c81.83$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.412540%10 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No78c80.81$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9647850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…0827backed No80c79.83$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8630%0 W · 3 L-2.2wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes31c78.34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.42955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+46.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed Yes18c77.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.73633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bea…038ebacked No18c77.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6750%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No36c75.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1214047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb14…0da7backed Yes22c75.57$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.574032.5%13 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65af…df77backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.071662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+47%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0711351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.071643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+70.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes22c69.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+102.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes22c66.87$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.878050%40 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes26c65.26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.342462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41d…5e45backed No79c62.18$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1230%0 W · 3 L-2.2wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No80c61.09$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.676549.2%32 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No80c60.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.674452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No80c60.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.675255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked No80c60.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.671450%7 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No80c60.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.673262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed No80c60.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.672564%16 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No80c60.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.672653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b73…174ebacked No79c58.32$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes26c57.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.049446.8%44 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77a9…6bb5backed No79c56.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.