TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0796…8264

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
184
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT4269%29 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Hailey Baptistebacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$24.06
Madrid Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.01
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Ignacio Busebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.8
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.85
Madrid Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.31
Madrid Open: Simona Waltert vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Tyra Caterina Grantbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.61
Madrid Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.99
Madrid Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Maria Sakkaribacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.09
Oeiras 4: Lucie Havlickova vs Fiona Ferrobacked Fiona Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.88
Madrid Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
Madrid Open: Alycia Parks vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.51
Madrid Open: Patrick Kypson vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Patrick Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Madrid Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Tereza Valentovabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.44
Madrid Open: Dalma Galfi vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Dalma Galfi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$46.88
Madrid Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.83
Madrid Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Patrick Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.99
Madrid Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$89.6
Madrid Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.91
Madrid Open, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.03
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.77
Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.92
BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+30%+$11.85
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Veronika Podrez vs Katie Boulterbacked Veronika Podrez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$73.81
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$35.32
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.44
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$30.75
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.61
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.5
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.42
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$35.33
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.7
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.28
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.2
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$33.3
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$12.11
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.52
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$143.6
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.14
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.29
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$11.12
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$32.01
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.22
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.88
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.08
All 20 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$54.67
Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.15
Will FC Nordsjælland vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$24.57
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.26
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$19.05
Will IK Start vs. Molde FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$16.6
Will IK Start win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will FC København win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$23.9
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$24.06
Will FC Nordsjælland vs. Viborg FF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Odense BK win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$35.94
Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.33
Will Casa Pia AC vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$16.5
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.44
Will Eyüpspor vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.99
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.8
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.08
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$76.85
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$46.31
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.1
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$17.32
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.74
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.05
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.08
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.41
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.01
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$49.7
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.29
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.78
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$44.61
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.21
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.46
All 16 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.18
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.03
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.72
Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$19.06
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$16.22
Will Hannover 96 vs. SC Paderborn 07 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$18.55
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.46
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.08
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$45.45
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.39
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$18.45
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.22
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.08
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.93
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.37
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$105.28
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$14.91
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will CD Castellón vs. Burgos CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.99
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.16
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.05
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$21.46
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.77
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$414.05
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$47.12
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$105.62
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$262.96
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$242.05
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$308
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,483Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$776.24
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?backed Leadership Change · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+75.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.39
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$41.3
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$54.33
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$9.58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+121.9%+$57.59
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.03
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on April 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.46
All 8 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick70cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.78
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.6%+$156.92
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Multan Sultansbacked Peshawar Zalmi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.