Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30f02acf3ffdd335bcd6e1d1c247fce0c823773cfe1f5d912ab313a65463da39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lorenzo Musettiof Hubert Hurkacz, Lorenzo Musetti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $463,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $554,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $463,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 421 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…b8f7backed Lorenzo Musetti | 65c | 54,508$35,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,234.97 | 137 | 54.7%75 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hubert Hurkacz | 27c | 20,882$5,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,722.57 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Hubert Hurkacz | 3c | 20,384$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.71 | 341 | 36.4%124 W · 217 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…ff15backed Hubert Hurkacz | 36c | 19,420$6,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,893.99 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Hubert Hurkacz | 36c | 17,652$6,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,346.38 | 1,672 | 50.1%837 W · 835 L | +30.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Hubert Hurkacz | 25c | 16,185$4,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,009.88 | 1,188 | 48.9%581 W · 607 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Hubert Hurkacz | 38c | 15,810$6,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,007.94 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hubert Hurkacz | 16c | 13,728$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.43 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 24c | 11,208$2,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,743.03 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 65c | 8,384$5,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,935.99 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…ee1abacked Lorenzo Musetti | 63c | 8,299$5,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.05 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Hubert Hurkacz | 38c | 7,500$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.98 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Hubert Hurkacz | 36c | 7,404$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665.44 | 4,070 | 39.7%1,617 W · 2,453 L | +92.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Hubert Hurkacz | 35c | 5,889$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.18 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Hubert Hurkacz | 1c | 5,555$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 1,205 | 8%96 W · 1,109 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Hubert Hurkacz | 32c | 5,409$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.18 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Lorenzo Musetti | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 438 | 63.9%280 W · 158 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3295…8975backed Lorenzo Musetti | 62c | 4,775$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.35 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Lorenzo Musetti | 61c | 4,767$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.44 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 33c | 4,691$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.54 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -11.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Hubert Hurkacz | 38c | 3,951$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.27 | 926 | 55.9%518 W · 408 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Hubert Hurkacz | 30c | 3,600$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.69 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lorenzo Musetti | 78c | 3,474$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.5 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 30c | 3,446$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.93 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 78c | 3,393$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.15 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Lorenzo Musetti | 71c | 3,074$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.6 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 22c | 2,804$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.63 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…acbabacked Lorenzo Musetti | 77c | 2,731$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.12 | 254 | 64.6%164 W · 90 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Hubert Hurkacz | 39c | 2,310$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.95 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Hubert Hurkacz | 38c | 2,297$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.84 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c8…823abacked Lorenzo Musetti | 62c | 2,100$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…7086backed Lorenzo Musetti | 62c | 2,080$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Lorenzo Musetti | 72c | 2,048$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.53 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Hubert Hurkacz | 30c | 1,966$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.36 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hubert Hurkacz | 22c | 1,866$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.41 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Hubert Hurkacz | 35c | 1,824$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.49 | 783 | 36%282 W · 501 L | +36.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Lorenzo Musetti | 61c | 1,812$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.63 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lorenzo Musetti | 80c | 1,745$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.96 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 19c | 1,687$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.03 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Hubert Hurkacz | 37c | 1,580$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.08 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lorenzo Musetti | 62c | 1,506$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.11 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…7f37backed Lorenzo Musetti | 64c | 1,503$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.96 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68fc…c7eabacked Hubert Hurkacz | 11c | 1,415$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.83 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 63c | 1,357$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.52 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 75c | 1,356$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.94 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Hubert Hurkacz | 38c | 1,300$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Lorenzo Musetti | 78c | 1,265$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.33 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f92…dec0backed Lorenzo Musetti | 68c | 1,238$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.8 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked Hubert Hurkacz | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -6.7wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lorenzo Musetti | 61c | 1,121$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.46 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 22c | 1,099$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.86 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…c17bbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 65c | 1,094$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bda…8da4backed Hubert Hurkacz | 3c | 1,092$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Hubert Hurkacz | 35c | 1,091$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.46 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lorenzo Musetti | 62c | 1,088$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.45 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 35c | 1,052$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.04 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Lorenzo Musetti | 77c | 1,038$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.73 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Hubert Hurkacz | 31c | 1,029$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.82 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…b1e9backed Lorenzo Musetti | 77c | 1,025$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.66 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0239…6e89backed Hubert Hurkacz | 29c | 1,023$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.66 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Lorenzo Musetti | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc762…8970backed Lorenzo Musetti | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed Lorenzo Musetti | 62c | 978.83$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.95 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 36c | 972$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Hubert Hurkacz | 39c | 963.4$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.73 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Hubert Hurkacz | 35c | 928.02$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.98 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Hubert Hurkacz | 31c | 881.34$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.85 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Hubert Hurkacz | 35c | 857.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 965 | 41.5%400 W · 565 L | +14.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Hubert Hurkacz | 36c | 824.04$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.65 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Hubert Hurkacz | 38c | 819.95$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.58 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Hubert Hurkacz | 39c | 798.34$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.85 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Hubert Hurkacz | 24c | 795.33$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.88 | 299 | 48.5%145 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…c975backed Hubert Hurkacz | 39c | 741.08$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.02 | 215 | 37.2%80 W · 135 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 50c | 729.68$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.84 | 84 | 73.8%62 W · 22 L | +24.4wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f0…37ebbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 62c | 707.49$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 4c | 691.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 130 | 33.8%44 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb97d…2c58backed Lorenzo Musetti | 79c | 687.43$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Lorenzo Musetti | 80c | 655.1$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.55 | 623 | 45.4%283 W · 340 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 78c | 632.54$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.16 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Hubert Hurkacz | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Hubert Hurkacz | 36c | 592.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.48 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Lorenzo Musetti | 62c | 586.32$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.8 | 887 | 49.8%442 W · 445 L | -22.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 73c | 574.54$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.13 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lorenzo Musetti | 62c | 553.98$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.51 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Lorenzo Musetti | 69c | 542.8$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.84 | 485 | 41.2%200 W · 285 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 37c | 540$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Hubert Hurkacz | 37c | 530.21$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.18 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Hubert Hurkacz | 38c | 529.54$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.23 | 1,920 | 55.4%1,064 W · 856 L | -44.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Hubert Hurkacz | 26c | 529.39$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.63 | 1,354 | 38.3%518 W · 836 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Hubert Hurkacz | 38c | 510.14$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.85 | 401 | 36.4%146 W · 255 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 67c | 508.57$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 292 | 41.8%122 W · 170 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0a…dda0backed Lorenzo Musetti | 76c | 506.12$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Lorenzo Musetti | 78c | 506.05$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.33 | 605 | 62.8%380 W · 225 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 38c | 490.66$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.21 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed Lorenzo Musetti | 76c | 487.17$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.92 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Hubert Hurkacz | 40c | 482$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 294 | 44.2%130 W · 164 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Hubert Hurkacz | 20c | 476$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 331 | 49.2%163 W · 168 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…553ebacked Lorenzo Musetti | 62c | 472.84$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.68 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…71aebacked Lorenzo Musetti | 66c | 470.3$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.26 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musettithis page
- Hurkacz vs. Musetti: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Hurkacz vs. Musetti: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Hurkacz vs MusettiMusetti won
- Set Handicap: Musetti (-1.5) vs Hurkacz (+1.5)Musetti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.