TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0036…553e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Golf, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT4259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierrabacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.76
Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Xiyu Wangbacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$65.07
Madrid Open: Caty McNally vs Victoria Mbokobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.8
Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Koprivabacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$197
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Gabriel Diallobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.44
Madrid Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$179.68
Madrid Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Tyra Caterina Grantbacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.23
Madrid Open: Elvina Kalieva vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$148.25
Madrid Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.4
Madrid Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.11
Madrid Open: Janice Tjen vs Alina Charaevabacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$138.68
Madrid Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.38
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$238.71
Madrid Open, Qualification: Dalma Galfi vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Dalma Galfi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$609Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$362.6
Madrid Open, Qualification: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkovabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.93
Madrid Open: Tatjana Maria vs Laura Samsonbacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.94
Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Irina-Camelia Begubacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$219.05
Madrid Open: Petra Marcinko vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintsevabacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$117.64
Madrid Open, Qualification: Martina Trevisan vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$149.79
Madrid Open, Qualification: Alycia Parks vs Elina Avanesyanbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$92.37
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: USA vs. Switzerlandbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$40.67
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$168.34
Sabres vs. Blackhawksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Utahbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$11.9
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Blackhawks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Kraken vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.46
Predators vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+111.4%+$46.78
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$48.64
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 18%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.5
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.65
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+130.9%+$479.57
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.99
Will Tisza win 110–119 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$126
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$107.23
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-42.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+86%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$93.11
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.42
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$67.78
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+281.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+281.1%+$227.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.