TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Kings, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$926,224
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,114,397

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $926,224 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 483 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Kings30c231,974$68,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,587.1667051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Avalanche70c186,020$130,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,805.9311644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Kings30c135,501$40,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,295.247545.3%34 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc29a…7816backed Kings29c61,913$17,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,935.768240.2%33 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Avalanche71c51,123$36,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,058.7761950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Avalanche73c31,767$23,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,675.1840356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Kings12c26,950$3,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,205.912950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche71c23,119$16,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,805.581,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Avalanche71c18,870$13,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,472.3326849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Kings24c18,693$4,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,536.7651550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff9…a78bbacked Avalanche71c17,429$12,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,054.426262.9%39 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Avalanche71c16,752$11,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,857.9912047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Avalanche67c15,763$10,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,201.7313841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Avalanche70c14,730$10,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,41956649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Avalanche71c14,454$10,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,191.6332151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche70c13,973$9,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,176.275251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Avalanche71c11,209$7,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,250.4720756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…a992backed Kings27c10,694$2,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,869.8612328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf715…2c2abacked Kings30c10,260$3,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,122.734247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb8e…34cebacked Avalanche69c9,998$6,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099.423164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked Avalanche71c8,647$6,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Avalanche71c6,920$4,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,006.7227044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Kings15c6,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9721849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche69c6,000$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.931,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Avalanche67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.991861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Kings30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.9229146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed Avalanche71c4,913$3,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.771250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Kings32c4,573$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.16933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Avalanche80c4,145$3,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.0689636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Avalanche71c4,127$2,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.8124457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Kings30c3,832$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.641842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Kings29c3,750$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.5438849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Kings9c3,637$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34027334.4%94 W · 179 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche79c3,338$2,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.882,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed Avalanche70c3,241$2,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.182650%13 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Avalanche70c3,153$2,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.89038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Avalanche69c3,025$2,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.9733652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Kings30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9007354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Kings30c3,000$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x39eb…0e4cbacked Avalanche71c2,948$2,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.861346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Kings28c2,869$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.4889249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Avalanche71c2,837$2,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Kings23c2,788$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.3637754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8af…03c2backed Avalanche71c2,768$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.696750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd20…6f35backed Avalanche71c2,623$1,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Kings29c2,500$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.9625447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed Avalanche70c2,222$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.683243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Avalanche67c2,217$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.41163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Avalanche72c2,163$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.711,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15db…d7efbacked Kings7c2,096$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.35922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-56.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Kings1c2,023$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.271458.3%12 W · 133 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+135.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Kings32c1,941$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.8633234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbde…a758backed Avalanche72c1,800$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.991030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-49.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Avalanche71c1,769$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.926953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8aa…f4fbbacked Kings29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe6b…b068backed Avalanche70c1,351$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.292564%16 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc85a…8cd8backed Avalanche71c1,304$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.117957%45 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kings30c1,300$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.4576950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings29c1,295$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.71,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Kings31c1,237$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.444526.7%12 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-36.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x50a3…ea7abacked Kings10c1,156$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7723348.5%113 W · 120 L+16.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Kings30c1,100$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33022946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa56f…ee5fbacked Avalanche72c1,092$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.881877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+33.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xffa5…f0c5backed Kings31c1,054$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.8830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Avalanche75c1,047$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.5619759.4%117 W · 80 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Avalanche70c1,012$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.737163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Avalanche65c999.98$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.993351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Kings11c990.93$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9414946.3%69 W · 80 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Avalanche69c984.63$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.241,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Avalanche71c968.76$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.943756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Avalanche69c949.95$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.483351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Avalanche70c934.86$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.4625555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcab7…1ae5backed Kings27c862.59$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.56145.9%28 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8004…d0f1backed Avalanche64c848.97$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.971060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc2…7ed7backed Avalanche70c841.71$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.519060%54 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Avalanche67c812.61$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.681,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche76c808.86$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.53,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Avalanche70c785.6$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.685947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Avalanche69c774.46$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.517353.8%93 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Avalanche70c742.39$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.7211047.3%52 W · 58 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Avalanche70c723.93$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.7522250%111 W · 111 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2567…2371backed Avalanche69c711.16$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.469552.6%50 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Avalanche71c709.21$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.6719150.8%97 W · 94 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e7…b4a1backed Avalanche70c701.43$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.432352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed Avalanche71c700.28$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.086245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42be…53dcbacked Kings31c699.78$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a94…a3bebacked Avalanche71c691.97$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.6710663.2%67 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Avalanche72c682.75$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.172161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Kings29c678.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.997147.9%34 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa796…95f9backed Kings31c674.72$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.978950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed Avalanche70c661.87$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.5610548.6%51 W · 54 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ef7…d842backed Avalanche71c652.97$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.363560%21 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c72…78edbacked Avalanche68c633.1$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.381136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Avalanche67c630.53$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.2132353.9%174 W · 149 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5c8…76b4backed Kings31c618.45$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.729550.5%48 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Avalanche68c610.48$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.3530944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Avalanche71c588.87$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.7731753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdccf…faeabacked Avalanche71c580.65$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.396536.9%24 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Kings30c569.93$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.376046.7%28 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe289…c31abacked Avalanche69c568.93$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.37771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.