NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x911857e9e0ae8e7e3bc7f0cdad3c66b994747faaa0ce7154d5a529eea4687897
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 42c | 4,934$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.43 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 58c | 1,900$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 57c | 1,341$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.78 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 57c | 510.22$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.39 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 58c | 474.73$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.39 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 58c | 440$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 57c | 296.12$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.33 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…324fbacked Under | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Over | 44c | 72.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb29b…5568backed Over | 44c | 72.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Under | 56c | 45.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa57f…930ebacked Over | 44c | 43.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9407…c132backed Under | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 42c | 32.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…18c6backed Over | 44c | 28.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…6886backed Over | 44c | 28.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 58c | 26.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Under | 58c | 25.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 59c | 19.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Under | 58c | 19.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5this page
- Kings vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.