NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5329e8be5218cff337889fb4ba21278c219a05200de32d6358ef0e357c4783f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Under | 46c | 9,294$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,018.52 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 54c | 9,087$4,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,906.98 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Under | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.97 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d2…73b8backed Over | 55c | 2,825$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 57c | 979.24$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.07 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 46c | 750.15$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.08 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 55c | 716.62$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.14 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 45c | 558.47$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.16 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…4922backed Under | 47c | 463.5$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x966e…b4bfbacked Over | 54c | 457.39$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 54c | 392.98$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.21 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…12bfbacked Over | 54c | 392.56$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…5520backed Under | 47c | 383.16$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 45c | 380$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 55c | 358.31$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.07 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 75c | 295.5$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 54c | 295$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.3 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 6c | 208.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Over | 55c | 186.94$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.82 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 55c | 179.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…e3bcbacked Over | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eca…87dabacked Under | 47c | 130.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 115.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…18c6backed Under | 47c | 104.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…415cbacked Under | 47c | 101.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 55c | 99.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fee…842bbacked Over | 54c | 99.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3f…0513backed Under | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Over | 54c | 96.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 94.65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 87.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…b138backed Under | 47c | 87.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20f3…2c21backed Under | 47c | 87.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x887f…7289backed Under | 47c | 82.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 52c | 76.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked Under | 46c | 76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29b…5568backed Under | 47c | 72.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Under | 47c | 67.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 53c | 65.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd1…7e42backed Under | 47c | 58.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…6886backed Under | 47c | 58.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 45c | 54.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…9153backed Over | 54c | 44.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa57f…930ebacked Under | 47c | 43.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Under | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 46c | 39.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Over | 55c | 34.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 55c | 29.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3432…b79ebacked Over | 54c | 26.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7921…692ebacked Over | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 57c | 24.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Over | 43c | 23.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Under | 47c | 22.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Under | 46c | 22.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 58c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5this page
- Kings vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
- Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.