TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Avalanche, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$383,119
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$378,965

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $383,119 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5bec…b215backed Avalanche51c189,744$96,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,769.3316442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Kings49c181,639$89,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92,6366352.4%33 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Avalanche51c55,000$28,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,05026849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed8…4388backed Avalanche52c39,472$20,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,525.531442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Kings51c29,222$15,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,213.6151550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc29a…7816backed Avalanche50c26,091$13,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,045.618240.2%33 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Kings48c15,130$7,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,852.8959450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Kings50c14,558$7,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,283.2318452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Kings48c10,097$4,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,250.1713841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Avalanche48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.9730944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Kings50c9,700$4,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,85018853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Kings48c6,635$3,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,450.3620756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Avalanche44c4,314$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.163844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Kings57c3,897$2,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675.621947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d2…73b8backed Avalanche44c3,296$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Avalanche52c3,146$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.9627044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Avalanche52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56027243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Kings50c2,005$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.8922946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x259c…b11ebacked Kings52c1,935$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.71241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings49c1,784$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.041,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kings44c1,721$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.532,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed Avalanche51c1,456$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.511250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cc…0b39backed Kings46c1,332$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.441050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Avalanche37c1,150$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.9711949.6%59 W · 60 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Kings35c1,054$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.0127334.4%94 W · 179 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Avalanche52c1,027$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.1624749.8%123 W · 124 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Avalanche49c1,006$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.982,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Kings49c950.15$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.5838849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings50c942.3$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.42,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Kings51c877.74$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.7637754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Kings57c854.56$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.465660.7%34 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Kings50c814.8$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.447256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Kings49c813.1$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.6840356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Avalanche66c809.67$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.731,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Avalanche53c773.77$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.15662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Avalanche54c644.74$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.731,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Kings48c521$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.921060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Avalanche51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25516546.7%77 W · 88 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67a8…1f1ebacked Avalanche41c496.09$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.52343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Kings52c485.6$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.094254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xab0e…76f8backed Avalanche50c476.35$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcc1…bb32backed Kings52c472.53$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.812100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Avalanche52c440$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.833554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe144…1f32backed Avalanche50c400.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche50c400.07$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.572,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25ff…8545backed Kings51c388.24$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0670…6444backed Avalanche50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ac…03debacked Kings53c349.53$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Kings15c348.56$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.2812733.1%42 W · 85 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kings48c332.52$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.3676950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Avalanche51c314.4$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8447753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f4f…9971backed Avalanche51c305.74$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.933351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Kings54c303.48$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.863857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Avalanche50c297.94$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1715145%68 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Kings52c291.79$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.656448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3f6…bab8backed Avalanche53c291.54$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.524459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Avalanche53c275.04$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.776139.3%24 W · 37 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4fd1…7511backed Avalanche53c251.86$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.496352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Kings50c222.13$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.078055%44 W · 36 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Avalanche45c208.71$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3831448.7%153 W · 161 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Kings47c206.26$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.464254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Avalanche47c205.1$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4531744.2%140 W · 177 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Kings53c204.35$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7217761.6%109 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf59e…b868backed Avalanche53c201.57$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf391…cf51backed Kings49c199.34$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55f8…b318backed Avalanche49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb99b…382ebacked Avalanche52c196.33$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe43c…c39dbacked Kings50c195.49$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5788…fb06backed Kings49c193.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.881163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x889e…b029backed Kings49c191.9$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56e4…fe36backed Avalanche52c191.04$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.692544%11 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd68d…afb2backed Kings53c187.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd05…cdbbbacked Avalanche53c181.41$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Kings47c168.64$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3831848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Kings50c155.09$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.31,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Avalanche74c154.12$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.335551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Avalanche80c153.14$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5124946.2%115 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche51c140.33$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.782,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Kings51c124$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9150251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0138…8451backed Avalanche50c123.54$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.779744.3%43 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Avalanche67c118.4$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1511557.4%66 W · 49 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Kings48c117.98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9286049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Kings48c112.56$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.534459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Kings49c104.98$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.177448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Kings47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5320245%91 W · 111 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Kings48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5259950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a80…2dadbacked Kings50c98.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.491850%9 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Avalanche50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.514245.1%64 W · 78 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6d8…ac72backed Avalanche50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.51040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Avalanche49c96.97$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.958053.8%43 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Avalanche47c96.82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5111159.5%66 W · 45 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6833…c63cbacked Avalanche50c96.54$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Avalanche45c96.37$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.634547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed Kings47c93.62$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4224346.1%112 W · 131 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x163e…324fbacked Avalanche53c93.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Avalanche52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5639343%169 W · 224 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…a219backed Avalanche52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5623148.9%113 W · 118 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0148…b61cbacked Kings50c92.34$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.172055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed Avalanche53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.594341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Kings77c91.23$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.686341.3%26 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.