TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcab7…1ae5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 59 out of 100; worst Asian League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT6145.9%28 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.5
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.42
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$958Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$958.5
Blues vs. Utahbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$160.78
Sharks vs. Blackhawksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Stars vs. Sabresbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+90%+$346.82
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.5
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$90.74
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+142.6%+$92.66
Jets vs. Utahbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Hurricanes vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Devils vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$269.22
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+103.4%+$154.83
Sabres vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$61.88
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+133.9%+$298.65
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$49.73
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Canucks vs. Ducksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$375.38
Senators vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$17.75
Canadiens vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+47.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$52.48
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.46
Bucharest Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$70.91
Bucharest Open: Nuno Borges vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$28.92
Miyazaki: Harry Wendelken vs Justin Boulaisbacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$14.23
Miyazaki: Blake Ellis vs Naoya Hondabacked Blake Ellis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+145.5%+$40.73
Miyazaki: Ryotaro Taguchi vs Paul Jubbbacked Ryotaro Taguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
San Luis Potosi: Max Wiskandt vs Patrick Zahrajbacked Max Wiskandt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.22
San Luis Potosi: Robin Catry vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked Robin Catry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.77
San Luis Potosi: Dan Martin vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Dan Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+130%+$99.9
San Luis Potosi: Stefano Napolitano vs Facundo Menabacked Stefano Napolitano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.88
Credit One Charleston Open: Alycia Parks vs Mary Stoianabacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+204.7%+$48.5
Credit One Charleston Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$11.77
Credit One Charleston Open: Elvina Kalieva vs McCartney Kesslerbacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.27
Barletta: Duje Ajdukovic vs Lukas Neumayerbacked Duje Ajdukovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
Grand Prix Hassan II: Aleksandar Vukic vs Taha Baadibacked Taha Baadi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+225.9%+$37.74
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.38
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$34.23
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$205.24
Trail Blazers vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+180.5%+$149.63
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$27.26
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Spread: Lakers (-16.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+101.1%+$24.9
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.99
Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 244.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.56
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.73
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-43.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.06
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$13.06
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Marinersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.44
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.93
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$9.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.