TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Senators vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Senators, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$730,121
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$697,714

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $730,121 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 544 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1925…4654backed Senators43c172,240$73,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,912.9611644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Senators42c128,057$53,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,484.0967051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Hurricanes58c109,934$63,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,172.297545.3%34 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac39…95c7backed Hurricanes57c66,656$37,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,661.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Hurricanes57c51,056$29,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,006.2522443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Hurricanes59c24,798$14,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,167.318946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Senators43c24,145$10,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,382.353046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hurricanes57c21,276$12,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,054.5861950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Senators25c20,473$5,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,188.122,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9b35…5da2backed Senators42c20,124$8,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,452.2622043.2%95 W · 125 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Hurricanes57c16,310$9,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,013.348549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Senators32c13,340$4,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,244.413841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hurricanes57c11,999$6,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,159.71,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Senators42c11,051$4,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,586.5333450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Hurricanes57c10,541$6,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,532.565046%23 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…98e3backed Senators0c10,341$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Hurricanes80c8,707$6,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.167149.3%35 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Senators43c8,247$3,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,546.0656649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Hurricanes58c6,531$3,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,743.2275251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed Hurricanes75c6,474$4,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.47683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+54.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Hurricanes57c5,982$3,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,572.2350049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked Hurricanes57c5,905$3,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,539.332085%17 W · 3 L+5.5wins+0.27per pick58cpaid+49.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Hurricanes65c5,462$3,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.837163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Hurricanes57c5,373$3,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,310.632151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Hurricanes57c5,292$3,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,275.5513850.7%70 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39eb…0e4cbacked Hurricanes57c5,115$2,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.261346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Hurricanes56c5,015$2,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,181.5429146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Hurricanes58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10066951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Hurricanes57c4,810$2,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,068.1420756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Senators44c4,577$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.1127044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Senators12c4,465$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.4533234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Senators42c4,113$1,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.635446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…6112backed Hurricanes57c4,036$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.32633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-43%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Senators25c3,978$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.9889636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc92…2e78backed Hurricanes57c3,948$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.523151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Hurricanes58c3,903$2,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.4352050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Hurricanes57c3,897$2,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675.6241842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9f…345cbacked Hurricanes58c3,872$2,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.32055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Senators43c3,750$1,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612.5638849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hurricanes63c3,450$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.371,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Hurricanes57c3,418$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.8513446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Hurricanes57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.9910743%46 W · 61 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Senators36c2,941$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.9725552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Senators44c2,865$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.11,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hurricanes67c2,699$1,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.361,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cc…0b39backed Senators42c2,400$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0081050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Hurricanes79c2,080$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.2812552%65 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Hurricanes57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86026750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Hurricanes57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86025447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Hurricanes57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86020450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Hurricanes58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.9860337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Hurricanes58c1,989$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.6117353.8%93 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Senators20c1,943$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.612,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Hurricanes79c1,870$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.8518452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed Hurricanes57c1,709$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.926245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…7ed7backed Hurricanes59c1,653$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.829060%54 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa56f…ee5fbacked Hurricanes59c1,643$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.651877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+33.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeb49…ac86backed Senators43c1,623$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Hurricanes57c1,600$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.2976950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Senators20c1,597$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.6899638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked Hurricanes57c1,572$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.975276.9%40 W · 12 L+11.6wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+42.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Senators31c1,541$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.013,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Senators5c1,500$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0240351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Senators18c1,401$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.132161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf715…2c2abacked Senators43c1,342$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.364247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Hurricanes62c1,294$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.9230259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Hurricanes59c1,287$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.77258.3%42 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Hurricanes57c1,186$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.3826955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Senators5c1,157$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2154418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Hurricanes57c1,110$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.331148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Hurricanes58c1,100$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46226154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Senators42c1,100$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46222946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Hurricanes58c1,056$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.781275%9 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+79.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Senators1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102420.8%2 W · 240 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Hurricanes58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42030552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Senators42c995.89$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.2820951.7%108 W · 101 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15e7…b4a1backed Hurricanes59c991.93$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.692352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed Hurricanes58c990.4$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.973243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Senators13c966.15$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9727334.4%94 W · 179 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Senators14c939.57$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5911833.1%39 W · 79 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Hurricanes58c882.4$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.6124749.8%123 W · 124 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Hurricanes59c877.86$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.925947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Senators24c868.52$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.1427037.4%101 W · 169 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Hurricanes58c840.34$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.945954.2%32 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Senators36c834.94$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.531,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Senators42c789.66$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.3833554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Senators4c730.72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0539343%169 W · 224 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x520e…0453backed Senators44c724.8$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.91616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Hurricanes58c712.41$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.9711047.3%52 W · 58 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Hurricanes58c705.89$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.4710647.2%50 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Hurricanes59c664.63$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.5547256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a94…a3bebacked Hurricanes76c648.42$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.6210663.2%67 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Hurricanes57c626.67$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.475662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Senators20c600$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12051949.5%257 W · 262 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Senators24c599.81$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.1511245.5%51 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Hurricanes79c593.72$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6919759.4%117 W · 80 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Senators14c589.46$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5112745.7%58 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd050…3f88backed Senators42c586.01$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x569c…aa1dbacked Hurricanes59c578.63$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Hurricanes57c549.99$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.52948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.