NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd051778352b5073d40b2446cf92fffa0cbf74e2081b2549ddf0b3ca5df749f8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc350…3669backed Over | 23c | 36,610$8,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,420.36 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 77c | 31,564$24,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,259.69 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 56c | 6,649$3,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,746.94 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 4,331$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.9 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 79c | 3,686$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.99 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 45c | 3,554$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.79 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 3,160$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.91 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 22c | 899.99$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 12c | 796.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.61 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56f…3670backed Over | 58c | 690.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.63 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 57c | 681.94$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.71 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 44c | 658.91$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.99 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 77c | 514.67$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.83 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 75c | 500.19$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 44c | 466.77$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.39 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 43c | 440$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 24c | 415.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.42 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 43c | 406.42$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.66 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Over | 23c | 380.66$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.82 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 45c | 372.39$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.81 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 12c | 371.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…702dbacked Over | 23c | 356.47$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 55c | 343.47$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.91 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 314$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.98 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 49c | 296.33$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.83 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 44c | 278.79$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.46 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 225.71$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.22 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 54c | 223.23$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.43 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 209.23$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 36c | 197.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 33c | 167.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 15c | 161.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 16c | 160.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 12c | 142.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 12c | 125.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Under | 79c | 107.22$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5788…fb06backed Under | 44c | 96.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 44c | 95.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 77c | 91.79$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Over | 24c | 80.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Under | 45c | 70.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 44c | 60.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…415cbacked Under | 45c | 58.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under | 44c | 50.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 44c | 49.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 43c | 47.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 56c | 47.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Under | 45c | 44.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eca…87dabacked Under | 45c | 42.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed Under | 79c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Under | 45c | 35.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ce…8945backed Over | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Over | 58c | 33.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Under | 44c | 30.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 43c | 29.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…b138backed Under | 45c | 29.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3f…0513backed Under | 45c | 26.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 57c | 22.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Over | 57c | 20.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 57c | 19.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5this page
- Senators vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 2.5Under won
- Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 3.5Under won
- Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5Under won
- Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Under won
- Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.