NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc429dd4714347bd7e91ea66dbb8919fcbb68d424c8507c197424f9b6cb6bc6fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 46c | 10,300$4,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,734.98 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Under | 54c | 4,398$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.89 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 55c | 1,651$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.3 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 54c | 1,583$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.24 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 45c | 1,487$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.37 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Under | 56c | 1,153$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.24 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 1,014$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.1 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Under | 56c | 973.6$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.38 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 886.8$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.19 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e77…257abacked Over | 46c | 588.97$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…384abacked Under | 55c | 583.8$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…9bd9backed Under | 55c | 583.8$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.71 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c6…2f90backed Over | 46c | 570.65$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eec…3df1backed Under | 55c | 559.9$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7db…1a90backed Under | 55c | 530.73$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…e7e5backed Over | 46c | 520.02$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Under | 54c | 270.11$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked Under | 54c | 270.11$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 258.52$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.16 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 54c | 240$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc645…e8bbbacked Under | 55c | 225.26$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.37 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Under | 54c | 202.58$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.19 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…e138backed Over | 46c | 194.38$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Under | 55c | 181$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 54c | 178.95$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Under | 54c | 178.42$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.07 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…aa01backed Under | 56c | 175.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 55c | 173.53$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 54c | 162.07$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Under | 55c | 108.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Under | 54c | 108.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…86e7backed Under | 55c | 99.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5788…fb06backed Under | 56c | 97.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 54c | 92.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 27c | 87.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31d…e7a4backed Under | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked Under | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Over | 47c | 51.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +56%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…3516backed Over | 47c | 51.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 45c | 39.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Under | 55c | 38.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Under | 72c | 36.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 152 | 65.1%99 W · 53 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…fe36backed Under | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…5ab1backed Under | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Over | 46c | 34.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Over | 46c | 29.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 45c | 29.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 55c | 27.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Under | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Under | 54c | 25.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 54c | 24.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5this page
- Senators vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 2.5Under won
- Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 3.5Under won
- Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5Under won
- Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Under won
- Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.