TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Senators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,183
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,761

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,183 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa974…ef79backed Hurricanes36c9,871$3,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,317.1910743%46 W · 61 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ff9…a78bbacked Senators64c3,875$2,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,480.896262.9%39 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Senators64c3,345$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,140.8961959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0206…bf76backed Hurricanes39c2,016$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.731266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+52.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Senators64c1,257$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.6420756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Senators61c1,215$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.822,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Senators64c1,181$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.0724349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Hurricanes36c926.18$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.7611058.2%64 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fb…8feebacked Hurricanes36c780.76$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.2419050.5%96 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Senators64c760$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.433554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Hurricanes36c746.39$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47415145%68 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Senators64c609.72$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.2217761.6%109 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Senators65c548.24$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.3636349%178 W · 185 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hurricanes45c471.94$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.192,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55f0…4e2cbacked Hurricanes36c414.02$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.971233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Senators64c393.25$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.6816546.7%77 W · 88 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa097…fba7backed Hurricanes37c384.76$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.324936.7%18 W · 31 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Senators59c308.57$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.56448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Hurricanes36c273.65$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.3922946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Senators63c259.12$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.2476950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb882…fcabbacked Senators51c258.22$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.32757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Senators57c245.66$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4782353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Senators63c232.71$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.611,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf50…b426backed Hurricanes36c221.7$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.891936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Senators63c215.64$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.2911833.1%39 W · 79 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Senators63c215.59$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8226750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Hurricanes36c185$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.431848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa8…6e47backed Senators49c145.41$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Senators68c140.17$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3213841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Senators65c131.07$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.934254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Senators52c129.68$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.444254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Hurricanes36c124.29$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5519141.9%80 W · 111 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Senators65c120.49$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3281157.2%464 W · 347 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dd…7af9backed Senators50c115.56$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.221154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Hurricanes47c103.96$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.141,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked Senators49c102.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.194355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Senators54c99.38$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.863,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb69a…4842backed Senators64c99.29$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.55633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Hurricanes54c98.6$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.82,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Senators65c97.9$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6426849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Senators64c96.78$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2150251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Hurricanes46c96.25$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5534547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Senators64c88.33$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5338849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Senators27c87.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9111054.5%60 W · 50 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Senators63c82.7$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.151550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8a…093bbacked Hurricanes36c80.13$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.294052.5%21 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Senators64c77.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.954260.3%327 W · 215 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed Senators65c75.31$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.951866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Senators64c74.91$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9411159.5%66 W · 45 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Senators57c68.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.236134.4%21 W · 40 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Senators66c65.77$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0933660.7%204 W · 132 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Senators65c61.68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0923063%145 W · 85 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Senators48c60.79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.06757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed Senators51c57.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1233756.4%190 W · 147 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Senators50c56.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.532347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Senators47c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3831540.3%127 W · 188 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Senators55c52.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293429.4%10 W · 24 L-8.4wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-46.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Senators65c52.72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2740162.1%249 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a4f…5ab1backed Hurricanes37c52.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.772060%12 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Senators52c50.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.425240.4%21 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Senators60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8460449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Senators52c48.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.258349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Hurricanes51c43.7$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.411,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Hurricanes46c42.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7241050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Hurricanes35c41.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2245651.5%235 W · 221 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Senators50c41.39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5538551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8db2…f8a2backed Hurricanes43c40.32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.93757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8050…a265backed Senators48c36.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Hurricanes43c35.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2192049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Hurricanes48c30.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.910260.8%62 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Senators64c30.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.567466.2%49 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50fd…ee77backed Senators65c30.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5822763.4%144 W · 83 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68cc…e8c8backed Senators65c30.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5816959.8%101 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Hurricanes39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.316443.3%71 W · 93 L-15.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hurricanes54c29.17$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.421,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Hurricanes49c24.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2735551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Senators44c24.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5329533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc45d…de2fbacked Senators65c22.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6919548.2%94 W · 101 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07c9…9f5bbacked Senators64c21.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.736561.9%226 W · 139 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Hurricanes57c21.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2422250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Senators51c19.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.182,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Hurricanes52c19.46$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3451343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.