TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8050…a265

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Dota2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.21
Jiujiang: Alexis Galarneau vs Dane Sweenybacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.08
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.09
Madrid Open: Martin Landaluce vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.36
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cinabacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.09
Set Handicap: Yastremska (-1.5) vs Sierra (+1.5)backed Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$20.53
Set Handicap: Parks (-1.5) vs Efremova (+1.5)backed Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.39
Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Li Tubacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$19.56
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Jack Kennedybacked Jack Kennedy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.88
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Filsbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.74
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.03
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.42
Oeiras 3: Petra Marcinko vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$63.71
Santa Cruz: Valerio Aboian vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Valerio Aboian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.78
Tallahassee: Clement Tabur vs Andres Martinbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.02
Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Moerani Bouzigebacked Moerani Bouzige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.48
Tallahassee: Alex Rybakov vs Pedro Boscardin Diasbacked Alex Rybakov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.38
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 NORD vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$39.45
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.02
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$150.69
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.7
LoL: Winthrop University vs Blue Otter - Game 1 Winnerbacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$27.43
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.42
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.65
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.13
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.04
Game Handicap: OZO (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5)backed Ozarox Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$17.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.48per pick65cpaid-71.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)backed LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.