TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Winthrop University vs Blue Otter - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Winthrop Universityof Winthrop University, Blue Otter
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,494
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,372

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,494 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa07a…c3debacked Blue Otter0c19,066$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.78441.7%35 W · 49 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Winthrop University61c3,334$2,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.151,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Blue Otter49c2,506$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.432,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Blue Otter37c2,375$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.319041.1%78 W · 112 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Blue Otter4c1,398$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7764435.4%228 W · 416 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Winthrop University67c1,243$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4819150.8%97 W · 94 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Winthrop University51c1,086$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.3346637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Blue Otter33c900$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29432036.9%118 W · 202 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Winthrop University59c847.4$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.831,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe136…6d09backed Blue Otter35c828.42$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.4619738.6%76 W · 121 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Blue Otter46c611.18$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.031,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked Winthrop University51c570.94$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.768967.4%60 W · 29 L+13.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Blue Otter45c544.16$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.6433143.8%145 W · 186 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Blue Otter52c502.77$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.1698956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Winthrop University52c425.18$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.371,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Winthrop University60c399.55$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.292,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Winthrop University53c391.13$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.831,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x709c…ce30backed Winthrop University57c359.87$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.7410034%34 W · 66 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Winthrop University67c312.77$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10312539.2%49 W · 76 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d66…aa07backed Blue Otter31c309.49$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.843652.8%19 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1994…d63cbacked Winthrop University60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1209364.5%60 W · 33 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Winthrop University53c299.99$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1411,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Winthrop University57c296.73$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.591,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Winthrop University50c289.89$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.3586251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed Blue Otter41c280.84$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0180150.7%406 W · 395 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Blue Otter27c279.21$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.392,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xda00…5c4dbacked Winthrop University71c276.02$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.42157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc400…21a7backed Winthrop University63c232.81$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1423149.8%115 W · 116 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed4…f891backed Blue Otter47c228.35$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.551247.3%242 W · 270 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Blue Otter44c221.71$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6141945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Blue Otter46c209.2$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7879864.3%513 W · 285 L+32.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Blue Otter40c204.92$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0229944.1%132 W · 167 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd91…5d82backed Blue Otter41c187.18$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.486347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Winthrop University72c181.96$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.471,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Blue Otter30c179.53$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1138835.3%137 W · 251 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Winthrop University49c175.62$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1427247.8%130 W · 142 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3027…3594backed Blue Otter12c174.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9415048.7%73 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked Blue Otter17c167.61$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8117143.3%74 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Blue Otter46c155.57$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3310346.6%48 W · 55 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa8…6e47backed Winthrop University54c154.86$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.244768.1%32 W · 15 L+8.2wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+27.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Winthrop University51c154.71$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1718359.6%109 W · 74 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Blue Otter50c153.08$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6514246.5%66 W · 76 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed85…c85abacked Blue Otter47c140.4$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9512067.5%81 W · 39 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Blue Otter46c135.12$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1624941.4%103 W · 146 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Blue Otter40c133.18$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0180832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Winthrop University71c132.37$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6275342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d5…26eabacked Blue Otter30c131.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.56119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.28per pick37cpaid-79.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Blue Otter47c129.78$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6116035%56 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f05…85c5backed Winthrop University61c123.52$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1739861.8%246 W · 152 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Blue Otter35c119.48$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.36955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Blue Otter39c117.68$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.93,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa113…93f4backed Blue Otter45c107.71$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3511532.2%37 W · 78 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc690…ec5bbacked Winthrop University71c105.73$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3441453.4%221 W · 193 L+1.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4967…4292backed Blue Otter29c102.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8630231.1%94 W · 208 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked Winthrop University46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe727…f6e1backed Winthrop University54c99.94$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.974447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a1c…29dbbacked Blue Otter48c98.41$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.75616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-75.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Winthrop University60c97.6$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0448652.1%253 W · 233 L+2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Winthrop University59c97.54$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9946153.6%247 W · 214 L-24.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2eb4…6884backed Blue Otter48c96.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.54022.5%9 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-38.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Blue Otter21c93.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6528827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Winthrop University52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.829060%54 W · 36 L+10.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x87c0…244ebacked Winthrop University75c91.93$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9820445.1%92 W · 112 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Winthrop University64c88.54$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8869644.4%309 W · 387 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Blue Otter34c74.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.241,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Blue Otter28c74.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.551,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Winthrop University58c73.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.112,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Winthrop University53c73.37$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.514454.2%78 W · 66 L+16.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0bd7…8553backed Blue Otter40c72.4$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9670057.3%401 W · 299 L+36.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a16…de20backed Winthrop University73c68.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5927455.8%153 W · 121 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Blue Otter48c63.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4756341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed Blue Otter40c60.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.125853.5%138 W · 120 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Blue Otter32c58.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.175150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x330f…91b1backed Winthrop University59c57.78$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.631,24752.8%659 W · 588 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked Winthrop University52c55.64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7167056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8050…a265backed Winthrop University50c55.27$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.431154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc187…7ac1backed Winthrop University46c55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.77252.8%38 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed Winthrop University62c53.73$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5139266.6%261 W · 131 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Blue Otter47c53.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.820332%65 W · 138 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Winthrop University64c50.36$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2522955.5%127 W · 102 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d64…527ebacked Winthrop University60c48.37$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2462558.7%367 W · 258 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Blue Otter27c47.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9156317.2%97 W · 466 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x458d…8a59backed Blue Otter43c44.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.314619.6%9 W · 37 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-43.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Blue Otter33c43.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.549514.3%71 W · 424 L-70.5wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-50.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xe0b5…a0d7backed Blue Otter46c42.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3517040%68 W · 102 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6472…81e3backed Winthrop University51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.68257.3%47 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Winthrop University53c37.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7213961.2%85 W · 54 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Blue Otter39c37.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4346552.7%245 W · 220 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Winthrop University51c35.46$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5513759.9%82 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Winthrop University53c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0233737.7%127 W · 210 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Blue Otter41c30.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.471,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5624…b5c4backed Winthrop University74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.828851%147 W · 141 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked Winthrop University71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.772234.1%246 W · 476 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9f…36dfbacked Blue Otter51c28.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5658649.8%292 W · 294 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Winthrop University54c27.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.711952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed Winthrop University60c27.35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9432050%160 W · 160 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x278d…d3ecbacked Blue Otter53c26.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1913372.2%96 W · 37 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e46…7a60backed Winthrop University62c20.11$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.746360.3%38 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedab…8926backed Winthrop University58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.439352.4%206 W · 187 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Winthrop University60c18.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.334761.7%29 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.