TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1a1c…29db

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Valorant, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 58 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs against All authority (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.8
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stagebacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Counter-Strike: SAW vs G2 Ares (BO1) - Esplay Elite Gaming Group Bbacked SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Counter-Strike: Dripmen vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group Dbacked Dripmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.97
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group Abacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$21.04
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Ground Zero (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Ground Zero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+102.7%+$20.13
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group Abacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Counter-Strike: playersclub vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 Playoffsbacked Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Counter-Strike: playersclub vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winnerbacked Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Counter-Strike: playersclub vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winnerbacked Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Aurora Young Blood (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Atreides (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Atreides · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.45
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Alliance (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$20.03
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$19.64
Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs XI Esport (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Abacked Phantom Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.88
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Phantom (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$23.22
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs bond1e (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Play-Inbacked Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs FengDa Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffsbacked Chinggis Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-75.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+157.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$116.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$18.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.