Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: AKA HERO vs RIZON (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb6e00d7e4d1151b26eeb750b90362c109559857520454a4887bc3bb2a894057
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RIZONof AKA HERO, RIZON
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x629d…756cbacked AKA HERO | 15c | 614.94$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.15 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked AKA HERO | 30c | 544.25$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.77 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed RIZON | 76c | 423.53$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed RIZON | 77c | 303.42$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.73 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed AKA HERO | 14c | 299.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed AKA HERO | 18c | 186.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked AKA HERO | 19c | 186.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed AKA HERO | 17c | 158.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked AKA HERO | 37c | 148.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked AKA HERO | 37c | 140$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed RIZON | 63c | 136.89$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed AKA HERO | 16c | 131.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…cd03backed RIZON | 77c | 129.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed AKA HERO | 9c | 122.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed AKA HERO | 23c | 103.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked AKA HERO | 17c | 99.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed RIZON | 76c | 97.08$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked AKA HERO | 19c | 91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed RIZON | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked RIZON | 70c | 79.29$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed RIZON | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked AKA HERO | 19c | 72.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed AKA HERO | 27c | 72.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d58…de06backed AKA HERO | 20c | 68.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed AKA HERO | 28c | 63.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked RIZON | 64c | 58.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed RIZON | 77c | 51.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed AKA HERO | 36c | 47.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed AKA HERO | 24c | 42.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked AKA HERO | 30c | 42.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked RIZON | 71c | 42.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed RIZON | 64c | 42.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed AKA HERO | 33c | 36.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 190 | 40%76 W · 114 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RIZON | 68c | 35.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…3c0ebacked RIZON | 63c | 32.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…29dbbacked RIZON | 61c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66ce…fe68backed AKA HERO | 40c | 28.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…1e21backed RIZON | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…6821backed RIZON | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed RIZON | 79c | 23.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked RIZON | 64c | 21.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: AKA HERO vs RIZON (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: AKA HERO vs RIZON - Map 1 WinnerRIZON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.