Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: AKA HERO vs RIZON - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x985e7f6fe932f0696b2d032d1f5d622fc97b4d53812ac9c179ee64e48eda5dc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RIZONof AKA HERO, RIZON
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda46…d45bbacked AKA HERO | 1c | 4,703$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed RIZON | 74c | 434.31$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.48 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed AKA HERO | 20c | 296.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4af0…7696backed AKA HERO | 27c | 286.82$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked RIZON | 53c | 278.07$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.69 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked AKA HERO | 43c | 261.3$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed RIZON | 80c | 237.48$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked AKA HERO | 15c | 165$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed AKA HERO | 25c | 143.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked AKA HERO | 17c | 97.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked AKA HERO | 25c | 81.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed AKA HERO | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed AKA HERO | 24c | 61.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed AKA HERO | 27c | 47.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RIZON | 73c | 34.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked RIZON | 56c | 30.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed AKA HERO | 44c | 29.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked RIZON | 74c | 29.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed AKA HERO | 46c | 27.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: AKA HERO vs RIZON - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: AKA HERO vs RIZON (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group StageRIZON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.