CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Atreides (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d96a5b9ec0b026d400216f629094b509189c3bea40b550277af87f4316518df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Phantom, Atreides
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Phantom | 52c | 14,207$7,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,793.78 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Atreides | 41c | 7,025$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.19 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568c…fbd0backed Atreides | 60c | 6,913$4,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,141.16 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Phantom | 54c | 6,654$3,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,047.19 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Phantom | 64c | 5,109$3,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.28 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom | 60c | 3,683$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.7 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Atreides | 36c | 3,554$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.05 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked Atreides | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Atreides | 42c | 2,971$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.99 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5f…0689backed Atreides | 50c | 2,447$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.59 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Phantom | 63c | 2,184$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.4 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed Atreides | 36c | 1,659$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.57 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Atreides | 44c | 1,543$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.27 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Phantom | 53c | 1,504$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.51 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Atreides | 42c | 1,500$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.49 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Phantom | 42c | 1,489$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.72 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Phantom | 54c | 1,478$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.96 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Atreides | 31c | 1,356$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.23 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Atreides | 43c | 1,125$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.74 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Atreides | 44c | 1,122$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.29 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Phantom | 56c | 1,103$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.94 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked Atreides | 29c | 988.37$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.18 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed Atreides | 46c | 859.23$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.25 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed Atreides | 39c | 793.84$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.6 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Atreides | 37c | 649.07$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.16 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Atreides | 39c | 625.54$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.49 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Atreides | 42c | 598.42$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.66 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Atreides | 33c | 557.65$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.13 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…40cebacked Phantom | 56c | 553.15$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.35 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phantom | 49c | 551.01$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.74 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Phantom | 65c | 542$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.45 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Phantom | 58c | 511.08$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.42 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Phantom | 57c | 510.67$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.37 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Atreides | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Atreides | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Atreides | 40c | 499.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.74 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Phantom | 62c | 492.92$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.9 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Atreides | 48c | 492.16$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.75 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Atreides | 40c | 462$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.08 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed Atreides | 40c | 429.02$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.19 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc297…b1eabacked Phantom | 68c | 426.4$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.93 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Phantom | 54c | 405.86$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.51 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed Atreides | 39c | 399.5$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.81 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Atreides | 40c | 393.31$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.32 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Atreides | 44c | 379.48$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.27 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Phantom | 62c | 377.74$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.13 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Atreides | 44c | 375.96$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.8 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…9407backed Atreides | 35c | 374.77$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Atreides | 55c | 355.56$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.57 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Phantom | 47c | 329.34$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.55 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Atreides | 42c | 320.67$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.74 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Atreides | 43c | 306.2$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.14 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Atreides | 43c | 300.97$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.97 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Phantom | 60c | 293.72$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.33 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Atreides | 43c | 291.64$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.41 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Phantom | 69c | 284.09$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Atreides | 22c | 283.12$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb30e…5ecebacked Phantom | 63c | 282.65$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.43 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…5901backed Phantom | 60c | 277.56$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.55 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +5.5wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x115a…98e1backed Phantom | 75c | 260.54$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…133ebacked Phantom | 59c | 255.05$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.85 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Phantom | 59c | 250.14$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Phantom | 42c | 249.23$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Phantom | 38c | 240.7$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.23 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d5…306dbacked Phantom | 38c | 220.43$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa65d…1933backed Phantom | 72c | 210.78$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Atreides | 19c | 208.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…9c04backed Atreides | 49c | 199.55$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -68%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Atreides | 44c | 195.85$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.89 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Atreides | 44c | 195.21$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.89 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Atreides | 45c | 194.64$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.65 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Atreides | 39c | 192.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Phantom | 60c | 177.42$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Atreides | 47c | 175.11$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 284 | 34.9%99 W · 185 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…be67backed Phantom | 63c | 174.14$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed Atreides | 57c | 173.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Phantom | 47c | 165.27$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.79 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…763dbacked Atreides | 46c | 164.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Phantom | 59c | 156.57$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Phantom | 59c | 154.46$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.01 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc621…7c5cbacked Atreides | 54c | 151.78$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Phantom | 55c | 141.53$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Atreides | 13c | 137.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd94f…ee62backed Atreides | 48c | 120.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Phantom | 65c | 112.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Phantom | 57c | 109.47$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Phantom | 69c | 109.21$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Atreides | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Phantom | 53c | 97.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Phantom | 47c | 95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…3a39backed Phantom | 52c | 91.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…6b7abacked Atreides | 55c | 88.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Phantom | 59c | 85.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6b…66b6backed Atreides | 40c | 83.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Phantom | 49c | 81.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Atreides | 36c | 81.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Atreides | 41c | 79.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Atreides | 41c | 79.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Atreides | 50c | 78.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafee…1f64backed Atreides | 40c | 71.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Atreides (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Atreides - Map 1 WinnerPhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Atreides - Map 2 WinnerAtreides won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.